Hope of a Coronavirus stimulus check 2 still up in the air

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Many people are looking for an update on any potential IRS stimulus check number 2. So far a second round of stimulus checks is far from a guarantee, but it is possible that lawmakers will include more checks for households in the phase 4 stimulus package. Here’s an update on the possibility of an IRS stimulus check number 2.

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Phase 4 stimulus package may focus on manufacturing

One new reason that suggests an IRS stimulus check number 2 won't make it in the phase four package was revealed over the weekend. According to CNN, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said over the weekend that the Trump administration wants to see the phase 4 stimulus bill focus on manufacturing.

President Donald Trump reportedly wants the bill to cost at least $2 trillion, although Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has said he doesn't want the last bill to exceed $1 trillion in price. The Trump administration may be able to influence McConnell and other Senate Republicans to increase the price tag of the next stimulus package.

Navarro said the U.S. economy is up against "significant structural headwinds," especially in industries like hospitality, entertainment and transportation. He said the only way to deal with those headwinds is to "significantly expand and strengthen our manufacturing base."

He also said the U.S. economy must create more manufacturing jobs, which provide good wages and spur job growth up- and downstream. Additionally, he said Trump wants the phase 4 stimulus package to focus on his two basic rules, "Buy American, Hire American" and incentives for American companies to bring jobs back to the U.S.

Will an IRS stimulus check 2 be included?

Although the focus of the phase 4 stimulus package may be manufacturing, it's likely that other provisions will be included in it. The big question is whether IRS stimulus check number 2 will be one of those provisions.

Based on commentary from Senate Republicans, it sounds like a second round of stimulus checks is a low priority. Even though the Trump administration is apparently focused on manufacturing, other Trump advisers said last week that the president was seriously considering another round of checks.

Republicans have latched on to the surprise job numbers for May as a reason why a second round of IRS stimulus checks may not be necessary. However, the good news is that Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said last week that the White House would "seriously look at whether we want to do more direct money to stimulate the economy."

That's certainly a good sign that an IRS stimulus check number 2 will be included in the phase 4 stimulus package despite the positive jobs report and the president's focus on manufacturing.

What else might be included in the phase 4 stimulus package?

Aside from an IRS stimulus check number 2, several other provisions are under consideration by Republicans and Democrats. The White House has mentioned infrastructure as a potential focus for a future stimulus bill. Republicans and the Trump administration have called for back-to-work bonuses and a payroll tax cut. The bonuses may receive bipartisan support, although the status of the payroll tax cut is a bit unclear.

Democrats want to extend the extra $600 in weekly unemployment benefits past July. However, Republicans will likely block that effort because the extra money results in many people getting paid more to be off work than what they were earning while working.

Mnuchin has talked about trimming the extra benefit by a few hundred dollars per week, so that is a possibility. He described the extra $600 in benefits as broken because it may incentivize people to avoid returning to work. That would make it difficult for small businesses to resume operations.

Democrats also want to see assistance for state and local governments. Republicans could be convinced to support such aid as long as it supports only additional expenses incurred because of the coronavirus pandemic. They don't want to bail out poorly managed states that have had budget problems for years.

When might IRS stimulus check number 2 arrive?

Those who are hoping for an IRS stimulus check number 2 shouldn't expect it any time soon. The Senate has been pumping the brakes and wants to see how the first three stimulus packages help the economy. McConnell has said that they may start discussing the next package after their two-week recess that starts on July 3.

That would put debate on the phase 4 stimulus package in late July, so it could be August before any compromise on provisions for the package can be reached. We will continue to watch for updates on the possibility of an IRS stimulus check number 2.

Stimulus check round 2: Where do we stand?

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The situation involving a round 2 of IRS stimulus checks continues to evolve. It seemed like there was no chance for a second round of coronavirus stimulus checks, but that may be changing. Lawmakers may be moving closer to acting, especially if the Trump administration influences Republican lawmakers. Here’s the current status of a round 2 of IRS stimulus checks.

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Status of round 2 of IRS stimulus checks

Right now there's no clear package that has the approval of most lawmakers. The bickering and debate continues on Capitol Hill. The HEROES Act, which was passed by the Democrat-led House, appears essentially defunct. President Trump and Senate Republicans have called it "dead on arrival," and that certainly appears to be the case.

Even if the HEROES Act never comes up for a vote, it doesn't mean that round 2 of IRS stimulus checks won't happen. McConnell has said that the next stimulus package will be written in the Senate and be the last such bill. Based on that comment, it sounds like the Senate will start from scratch on a new bill, which would mean that if both sides of the aisle can come to an agreement, it will then have to go to the House for a vote.

Possible timing of coronavirus stimulus checks round 2

The timing of a round 2 of IRS stimulus checks is up in the air. The White House is said to be working on another stimulus bill this week as President Trump was scheduled to meet with advisors to talk about it. However, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has said that people shouldn't expect more stimulus until early next month.

That could mean that lawmakers will start debate on another package soon with the goal of passing it in early July. On the other hand, it could also mean that the Senate will wait to even start debate on another stimulus bill until next month.

Even if McConnell wants to wait for a month before starting debate, it's possible the Trump administration could convince him and other Republicans who want to take a wait-and-see approach to move faster than they currently want to move. If the Trump administration has a proposal of its own, that could be enough to grease the wheels on a round 2 of IRS stimulus checks.

How the first round was spent matters

Whenever lawmakers get serious about a round 2 of stimulus checks, one thing that will inform the discussion could be studies on how the first round of money was spent. The Kellogg School of Management studied the first round of checks to see how they were spent.

Similar to other studies, Kellogg found that those with less than $500 in their bank account spent the first stimulus check on essentials. They also spent nearly half of the money within 10 days of receiving it. The bank account balance turned out to be a bigger factor than income level in how the money was spent.

People with more than $3,000 in their checking account didn't change their spending behavior right after they received their check. The study also compared spending of this year's stimulus checks with spending of the stimulus checks received in 2008. This time around, more money was spent on food and essentials, while in 2008, more of the money was spent on cars.