Stats And Infographics On The 2016 Presidential Election – PayScale Election Coverage
Overview:
PayScale surveyed 17,227 users between August 5, 2016 and August 25, 2016, as part of its ongoing employee compensation survey, to see how they’re planning to cast their vote in the November presidential election. We intend to update this data and add new data splits on a weekly basis. In addition to standard information collected by PayScale re: compensation and career, respondents were asked to provide their political affiliation, if any, and for whom they intend to vote. Participation in these election-related questions was completely optional and not required to complete a PayScale employee compensation survey. For some background, Payscale did this during the election in 2012 and correctly predicted Barack Obama the winner, so they decided to do it again.
The data is broken down to show
- Candidate Choice
- Political Affiliation
- Industry
- Income Level
- Education Level
- Age Level
What is your political affiliation?
- Registered Republican
- Registered Democrat
- Independent
- Not Registered to Vote
- Prefer not to Say
* Respondents who chose “Prefer not to say” when asked about political affiliation were still allowed to answer the candidate preference question. They happened to be much more likely to choose “I do not intend to vote” when asked about candidate preference. Those that chose “Not Registered to Vote” were not included in this analysis.
Who do you plan to vote for in the November presidential election?
- Clinton / Kaine
- Trump / Pence
- A third-party candidate
- Undecided
- I do not intend to vote
- Prefer not to say
In this second analysis, PayScale analyzed differences in candidate choice:
Overall
| Candidate Choice | All | Affiliation | All | ||
| Clinton / Kaine | 32% | Registered Democrat | 38% | ||
| Trump / Pence | 22% | Registered Republican | 32% | ||
| 3rd Party Candidate | 11% | Independent | 30% | ||
| Undecided | 25% | ||||
| I do not intend to vote | 10% | ||||
| ± 0.8% | ± 0.8% |
By Political Affiliation
| Candidate Choice | Registered Democrat | Registered Republican | Independent |
| Clinton / Kaine | 74% | 4% | 25% |
| Trump / Pence | 3% | 65% | 11% |
| 3rd Party Candidate | 6% | 7% | 25% |
| Undecided | 14% | 21% | 31% |
| I do not intend to vote | 3% | 3% | 8% |
| ± 1.8% | ± 1.4% | ± 1.7% |
By Industry
| Industry | Clinton / Kaine | Trump / Pence | 3rd Party Candidate | I do not intend to vote | Undecided | Error |
| All | 32% | 22% | 11% | 10% | 25% | ± 0.8% |
| Accommodation and Food Services | 27% | 21% | 12% | 15% | 25% | ± 4.2% |
| Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services | 26% | 24% | 10% | 12% | 28% | ± 3.8% |
| Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting | 26% | 29% | 5% | 7% | 33% | ± 11.8% |
| Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation | 43% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 22% | ± 7.2% |
| Construction | 16% | 37% | 11% | 10% | 26% | ± 3.5% |
| Educational Services | 49% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 21% | ± 4.2% |
| Finance and Insurance | 32% | 20% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ± 3% |
| Health Care and Social Assistance | 34% | 22% | 8% | 10% | 26% | ± 2% |
| Information | 46% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 22% | ± 4.7% |
| Management of Companies and Enterprises | 28% | 19% | 19% | 2% | 32% | ± 12.6% |
| Manufacturing | 25% | 27% | 13% | 10% | 25% | ± 2.2% |
| Mining | 21% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 34% | ± 9.8% |
| Other Services (except Public Administration) | 31% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 22% | ± 4.9% |
| Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | 41% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 22% | ± 2.1% |
| Public Administration | 33% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 25% | ± 3.7% |
| Real Estate and Rental and Leasing | 33% | 23% | 8% | 13% | 23% | ± 6.2% |
| Retail | 29% | 24% | 11% | 12% | 24% | ± 2.9% |
| Transportation and Warehousing | 23% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 28% | ± 5.2% |
| Utilities | 23% | 35% | 15% | 7% | 20% | ± 7% |
| Wholesale Trade | 31% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 23% | ± 4.2% |
| Industry | Clinton Relative Frequency | Trump Relative Frequency | 3rd Party Relative Frequency | I do not intend to vote Relative Frequency | Undecided Relative frequency |
| All | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Accommodation and Food Services | 0.84 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting | 0.81 | 1.36 | 0.45 | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation | 1.34 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Construction | 0.50 | 1.73 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Educational Services | 1.53 | 0.64 | 0.82 | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Finance and Insurance | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Health Care and Social Assistance | 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Information | 1.41 | 0.59 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Management of Companies and Enterprises | 0.88 | 0.86 | 1.73 | 0.20 | 1.28 |
| Manufacturing | 0.78 | 1.23 | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Mining | 0.66 | 1.64 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.36 |
| Other Services (except Public Administration) | 0.97 | 0.91 | 1.27 | 1.30 | 0.88 |
| Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | 1.28 | 0.64 | 1.36 | 0.80 | 0.88 |
| Public Administration | 1.03 | 1.00 | 1.09 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Real Estate and Rental and Leasing | 1.03 | 1.05 | 0.73 | 1.30 | 0.96 |
| Retail | 0.91 | 1.09 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.96 |
| Transportation and Warehousing | 0.72 | 1.27 | 1.09 | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Utilities | 0.69 | 1.59 | 1.36 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Wholesale Trade | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.09 | 1.40 | 0.92 |
By Income Level
| All (Male + Female) | ||||||
| Candidate Choice | Less than 25k | $25k to <50k | $50k to <75k | $75k to <100k | $100k to <200k | $200k+ |
| Clinton / Kaine | 26% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 41% | 35% |
| Trump / Pence | 21% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 21% |
| 3rd Party Candidate | 8% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 12% |
| Undecided | 28% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 27% |
| I do not intend to vote | 17% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| Error | ± 7.4% | ± 2% | ± 1.8% | ± 2.6% | ± 2.9% | ± 10.2% |
By Education Level
| Candidate Choice | High School | Associate | Bachelor’s | Master’s | Doctoral |
| Clinton / Kaine | 22% | 22% | 38% | 45% | 55% |
| Trump / Pence | 29% | 28% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 3rd Party Candidate | 9% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| Undecided | 25% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 15% |
| I do not intend to vote | 15% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
By Age
| Candidate Choice | 18 to 24 | 25 to 34 | 35 to 44 | 45 to 54 | 55 or more |
| Clinton / Kaine | 30% | 34% | 32% | 29% | 31% |
| Trump / Pence | 17% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 33% |
| 3rd Party Candidate | 15% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Undecided | 23% | 23% | 25% | 27% | 28% |
| I do not intend to vote | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
Presidential Election – Definitions
Industry: This is the industry of the respondent as classified in the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). NAICS is the standard used by Federal statistical agencies in classifying business establishments for the purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data related to the U.S. business economy (http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/).
Total Cash Compensation (TCC): TCC combines base annual salary or hourly wage, bonuses, profit sharing, tips, commissions, and other forms of cash earnings as applicable.
It does not include equity (stock) compensation, cash value of retirement benefits, or the value of other non-cash benefits (e.g. healthcare).
Median Pay: The median pay is the national median (50th Percentile) annual total cash compensation. Half of the people with the degree earn more than the median, while half earn less. Range in pay within a degree can be very wide depending upon job choice, years of experience, scope of responsibility, location of work, etc. For example, pay can be higher than the stated median pay if the worker has more responsibility, chooses a higher paying field, or works in a city like New York.
Education: Education levels correspond to the highest level of education obtained.
Presidential Election – About PayScale:
PayScale powers compensation solutions in the cloud to provide immediate visibility into the right pay for any position. Creator of the world’s largest database of rich salary profiles, PayScale offers modern compensation software and real-time, data driven insights for employees and employers alike. More than 5,000 customers, from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies, use PayScale Benchmark™, PayScale Insight™ and Market Pay. These companies include Dish Network, Getty Images, Skullcandy, Bloomberg BNA and Time Warner.
