Evidence Of Massive Fraud Among Chinese Companies?

Updated on

Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing the evidence of massive fraud among chinese companies.

Get The Full Henry Singleton Series in PDF

Get the entire 4-part series on Henry Singleton in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues

Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

A hat tip to Edwin Dorsey of The Bear Cave for flagging this tweet:

Massive Fraud Chinese Companie

I’d welcome feedback on two questions:

1) Is this correct?

2) If so, is there any possible explanation for this, other than massive fraud?

Massive Fraud Among Chinese Companies?

Two of my wise readers came up with the right answer I think:

One wrote:

Listing requirements are very different between the two markets. For China’s A-share market, companies can’t list without several years of profitability. I’d be curious for the Chinese companies with negative ROE - they are likely almost all recent listings on the “Star board” (market created in 2019 to be the Chinese NASDAQ).

Curious what the distribution would look like for other major markets… (i.e. Europe, Japan, etc.)

The other added:

Have any PE friends that play in China? Ask them. CSRC (China’s SEC) are very strict.  But Trump activism forcing major change in China’s exchanges.

And with the anti-corruption campaign in China, lying to regulators is close to capital punishment.

Hence activism works in China.

Two more readers weigh in. Here’s the first:

Generally, companies that don’t post a profit for two consecutive years would get delisted although the rules are getting more relaxed via the STAR board that you mentioned. Some helpful links below (you can use Google Translate on them easily):



Another wrote:

Here is Jason Zweig's article about earnings management in various countries, including China, based on data from 1998-2018: Ironing Out an Investing Mystery

earnings management

2) Another interesting article: China’s ‘Long Term Time Bomb’: Falling Births Drive Slow Population Growth