Tesla Motors Inc Needs A Big Jump In June To Meet Q2 Delivery Target

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Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) was recently named the “most important car company in the world” by Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jones. Despite Tesla’s disruptive technology and immense growth potential, some may not agree with that title. Anyway, one thing that everyone agrees with is that investors are obsessed with Tesla datapoints.

Tesla sold 750 cars in Europe last month

So, Barclays analyst Brian A. Johnson is providing the company’s monthly sales figures. Johnson said that Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) sold 750 cars in Europe in May, up from 360 units in April. Thus far in the second quarter, the San Francisco-based company has sold 1,110 units in Europe. It had sold about 850 units in the first two months of Q1, 2014. Norway is undoubtedly Tesla’s biggest market in Europe, where the company sold 542 units in the first two months of this quarter.

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The company delivered 149 units in the Netherlands in April and May combined. Germany continues to frustrate Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) investors. The market size is huge, but Tesla sold only 57 cars there in May. Looking at the May results, Barclays says the EV maker will need a big month in June to meet its second quarter delivery target of 7,500 Model S cars.

But that shouldn’t be a big problem. Over the past few quarters, we have seen that Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA)’s sales unexpectedly jumped in the last month of the quarter. For instance, in Q1, 2014, March sales were 2x the number of sales in January and February combined. Barclays estimates that the company’s North American sales in May improved slightly from about 1,100 deliveries in April. Tesla is estimated to have delivered about 2,400 units in North America in the first two months of Q2. So, the company’s total sales in the first two months of this quarter, excluding China, were 3,500 units.

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Tesla has to increasingly depend on China for growth

Assuming Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA)’s Q2 China sales to come in at 1,000 units, the company will need to sell about 3,000 cars in North America and Europe in June to meet its Q2 delivery target of 7,500 unit. Sales should get some boost in June as the company launched its right-hand drive Model S in the UK earlier this month.

Brian A. Johnson says Model S sales in Europe and North America is plateauing. So, Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) has to increasingly depend on China to drive growth. Meanwhile, Model X remains on track for 2015 delivery. Pre-orders for the upcoming crossover have already surpassed 13,000 units. Positive Model X datapoints would further boost Tesla stock.

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