Stocks Will Sell Off On Inflation Data – Is A Temporary Bottom Ahead?

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Stock prices fell once again on Tuesday following U.S. dollar strength, as it reached a parity with Euro. Today we may see further declines on higher-than-expected U.S. inflation release.

The S&P 500 index lost 0.92% on Tuesday after its Monday’s decline of 1.15%. The broad stock market reversed a short-term uptrend from last week’s local highs. The index bounced from the 3,900-3,950 level once again.

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Last week the S&P 500 retraced almost all of its previous decline despite rallying U.S. dollar and commodities’ volatility. But early this week sellers took the initiative again. There’s still a lot of uncertainty and worries about inflation data, tightening Fed’s monetary policy, Russia-Ukraine conflict and the coming quarterly earnings releases season. And this morning the index is expected to open 1.4% lower following worse-than-expected CPI release. We may see an intraday bounce though.

The nearest important resistance level is remains at 3,900-3,950, marked by the previous highs. On the other hand, the support level is at 3,650-3,700. The S&P 500 index trades within a few-weeks-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of

S&P 500

Futures Contract - Sell-Off Below the 3,800 Level

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It retraced almost all of its recent advance. For now, it looks like a further consolidation.

S&P 500


The S&P 500 index will likely open 1.4% lower this morning, as investors’ sentiment worsened following the mentioned Consumer Price Index release. However, the market may see an intraday rebound and further fluctuations ahead of the coming quarterly earnings releases and Friday’s Retail Sales release.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 index is expected to extend its short-term losses this morning.
  • It will likely continue to fluctuate within a consolidation following multi-month decline.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,

Stock Trading Strategist

Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

The information above represents analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak & Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be subject to change without notice. At the time of writing, we base our opinions and analyses on facts and data sourced from respective essays and their authors. Although formed on top of careful research and reputably accurate sources, Paul Rejczak and his associates cannot guarantee the reported data's accuracy and thoroughness. The opinions published above neither recommend nor offer any securities transaction. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading his reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees, affiliates as well as their family members may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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