Value Investing

Peak Margin Debt and Subsequent Returns

Peak Margin Debt and Subsequent Returns

By: greenbackd

Margin debt in the United States — money borrowed against securities in brokerage accounts — has risen to its highest level ever, at $384 billion, surpassing the previous peak of $381 billion set in July 2007 according to New York Times Business Day’s Off The Charts: Sign of Excess?. Margin debt as a proportion of GDP is not quite yet at the peak set in 2007, but it has exceeded 2.25% only twice previously in the last 50 years–2000 and 2007. The bottom panel shows that each of those instances was followed by a large drawdown:

NYT Margin Debt

Read Off The Charts: Sign of Excess?

Order Quantitative Value from Wiley FinanceAmazon, or Barnes and Noble.

Click here if you’d like to read more on Quantitative Value, or connect with me on LinkedIn.

h/t SD.

Like Us On Facebook - For Business And General News: ValueWalk - For Tech And Science News: ValueWalk Tech - For Tech Insights, Technical Questions and Queries: Follow Our COO, Sheeraz Raza.