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Why Did Berkshire Hathaway Signifcantly Reduce its Stake in Exxon Mobil?

February 17, 2010
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Berkshire Hathaway released its most recent 13-f yesterday afternoon. The information revealed unusual activity in Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio during the fourth quarter. There was a lot of buying and selling of various positions.

Overall, Warren Buffett was a net seller in the fourth quarter of 2009. This is hardly surprising since Warren Buffett needed to raise cash to finance the acquisition of Burlington North Sante Fe. Warren Buffett reduced his stake in 11 out of the 41 stocks that are reported in Berkshire Hathaway’s 13-F. The companies Buffett reduced his stake in were CarMax, Conoco Phillips, Exxon Mobil, Gannett, Ingersoll Rand, Johnson & Johnson, Moody’s, Proctor & Gamble, Sun Trust Bank, United Health Group, and WellPoint. He added to several positions including one of his favorite companies Wells Fargo.

One of the strangest moves Warren Buffett made was his large decrease in Exxon Mobil. Warren Buffett only acquired a stake in the company during the 3rd quarter of 2009. It is very uncharacteristic of Warren Buffett to trade so quickly especially since there was no significant increase (in fact there was likely a decrease) in the stock price from the time Buffett made the purchase. The move was not insignificant; Warren Buffett reduced his stake in Exxon Mobil by approximately 70%.

The move is extra bizarre because Warren Buffett had initially only purchased a small stake in Exxon Mobil. In the third quarter of 2009 he purchased slightly under $100 million of the company. Warren Buffett never makes transactions of less than 100 million, leading many to suspect (myself included) that he would be buying more stock of the company over time.

I doubt he reduced his stake in Exxon Mobil to raise cash for the BNI deal. He only had a small stake in the company to begin with as I mentioned above. If he wanted to raise cash he would have sold a few more shares of large holdings like Johnson & Johnson and Wells Fargo.

This leads to only two possibilities in my mind: either Warren Buffett is becoming a trader or there was a material change in Exxon Mobil. I highly doubt it is the former and assume it to be the later.

I have thought of two possibilities of why Warren Buffett made this decision and they both have to do with the big news that hit the wires on December 14, 2009: Exxon Mobil was going to buy XTO energy in a multibillion dollar transaction.

The company announced that it would be purchasing XTO energy for $41 billion which includes $41 billion of existing XTO debt. A large part of the transaction would be financed through issuing stock to the shareholders of XTO. Exxon Mobil has agreed to issue 0.7098 of a share of common stock for each common share of XTO.

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Tags: berkshire hathaway, exxon mobil, value investing, Warren Buffett, warren buffett sells exxon, wfc, xom, xto, xto energy

  • Pingback: Weekly Links: February 21, 2010 | Dividends Value

  • Anoymous

    I follow Buffets portfolio filings closely and I have done well following him and also not following on some.
    Heres some scenarios that I have come up with:
    (1) He was badly burnt by Conoco and now realises timing is everything when you invest in commodities. Technically speaking the company is not strong. Most top tier commodity traders use charts and have made billions from doing it, so to say technical trading is useless is ignorance.
    (2)China is materially slowing, they have bght alot more commodities than they need in the short term. This can have a negative impact on commodities across the board over the interim
    (3) The consumer is going to be deleveraging for sometime (Warren Admitted this recently in a Jan Interview on CNBC). If this is the case growth will be sluggish and it will take alot longer to get to the point where demand exceeds oil production.
    (4) Inflation is not material atm and is unlikely to be as there is usually a significant time lag between monetary inflation and price inflation.
    (5) We are transitioning into the 70s style market which is more suited to trading than buy and holding. Buy and holders got killed between 1970-1980.

  • peridotic

    Hey Jacob, why do you have your posts shortened here than in gurufocus? Good post btw

    • http://valuewalk.com admin

      I write a lot of my articles on GuruFocus.com and then post them here. I am paid by the site for my articles and they therefore have exclusive rights. However, they have given me permission to post of the article on my website with a link to the end of the article on Gurufocus

      When I write articles that I will not post on GuruFocus I will post the article in full here.

      Please come back periodically as I will soon be writing more full articles here, plus I have many valuable resource pages which I am dedicating to value investing and value investors.

      Thanks

  • chris

    I think you are missing the real reason. Warren had nothing to do with its purchase, another one of the investment officers at one company under berkshire (like geico) bought shares. Only the very large items go through Warren

    • http://valuewalk.com admin

      according to an email i received his appears to not be the case given that the manager ID associated with the XOM position is Warren Buffett (No 4).