Knowing Your COVID-19 Risk

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Knowing Your COVID-19 Risk

As the pandemic continues, fighting COVID-19 becomes increasingly complicated.  As of May 2021, nearly 50% of American adults have been at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19, but the pandemic risks continue.  Worldwide, 2 in 3 epidemiologies agree viral mutations will render first-generation vaccines ineffective by 2022.  88% of epidemiologists also agreed that low vaccination rates in some countries would lead to more vaccine-resistant strains.

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Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

We need to have 70% to 85% of the population vaccinated to achieve herd immunity.  During that time, new variants of the novel coronavirus will continue to evolve and spread around the world.  Thus, by the time most of the world is vaccinated, first-generation vaccines will likely be ineffective; another round of mass vaccination will be required to protect individuals from the virus.

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Vaccines offer good protection, but not complete protection against the coronavirus.  The COVID-19 vaccine is not 100% effective at preventing disease like all vaccines, and existing vaccines are less effective against new variants.  It’s still unclear whether vaccinated people can still infect others, and slowing the spread also slows the emergence of new variants.  Vaccinated individuals must continue some precautions until the pandemic slows.

Understanding COVID-19 Risk

There is a better way to end the pandemic.  Understanding COVID-19 risk can be an effective way to lessen the dangers associated with the virus. A wide variety of health conditions, including cancer, chronic lung disease, Alzheimer's, obesity, and heart conditions, have all been associated with increased risk of infection and severe disease.  People that are immunocompromised are also at increased risk.  Even if an individual has one of these conditions, it doesn’t necessarily mean that they will develop severe COVID-19.

Knowing your risk can help everyone return to normal life by implementing risk-based precautions.  By understanding individual risk, the onus is put on the individual to determine how much risk they are willing to take.  The majority of people can practice routine precautions like masking and hand-washing.  At-risk populations can take more rigorous precautions by social distancing and avoiding large crowds.  The result is safety measures become more palatable to the public.  In turn, there will be increased compliance with the necessary precautions, slowing the spread and mutation of the virus.

Previously, 1 in 4 adults could be incorrectly categorized for their risk of developing severe COVID-19 until now.  At-home COVID-19 risk test kits determine the risk of developing severe COVID-19.  It considers 16 comorbidities and genetic markers, improves risk prediction by 25% over standard clinical models, and you can receive your risk score and a detailed report within 5-7 days.  Know your risk in the fight against COVID-19 and learn more in the visuals below:

Covid-19 Risk

Infographic Source: Genetype

Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)www.valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years ago, but I have sold off most of the equities and now only purchase mutual funds and some ETFs. I also own a few grams of Gold and Silver
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