Package theft Search Volume – Which State Is The Worst?

The popularity of online shopping has blossomed at an exponential rate in recent years. Why bother with the effort of going all the way to a store when you can get anything you want delivered straight to your front door at the click of a button? As well as this, delivery speeds are far quicker than they once were and, thanks to services like Amazon Prime, it’s fast becoming the norm to expect your product within a day of purchase. It represents opportunities that one could only dream of a mere 20 years ago.

package theft search volume

glynn424 / Pixabay

However, honest consumers aren’t the only people to benefit from online shopping and package delivery. As the popularity of online shopping has grown, we’ve also seen a growth in opportunities for the theft of these products that were bought with peoples’ hard-earned money. Commonly known as ‘porch piracy’, increasingly high numbers of people are finding that their online orders are being stolen straight from their own front doors.

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A new study has just been released by U.S. Packaging & Wrapping, supplier of various kinds of shrink wrap all across North America, in response to this growing epidemic. They decided to find out how the fifty states ranked according to their levels of porch piracy.

The methodology for this centred around using Google Ads data to find out which parts of the country were most often searching for terms implying that users had been victims of porch piracy. These terms included phrases like ‘stolen package’, ‘amazon package stolen’ and ‘usps package stolen’. The results were totalled and standardized according to each state’s population size, giving them their final rankings.

Here are the twenty-five states with the highest rates of package theft search volume:

Porch Piracy

And here are the twenty-five states that were found to have the lowest package theft search volume terms:

package theft search volume

It looks like most of the states with the lowest package theft search volume were southern states, like Mississippi (1st), Alabama (2nd), South Carolina (3rd) and so on. Maybe the trend to take from this is that you should stay in the south if you want your Amazon packages to stay safe!

The study goes on to look into the ‘when’ as opposed to the ‘where’ of package theft search volume. Google Trends search volume for the keyword ‘package stolen’ was noted each month from January 2014 to December 2018, after which every month’s results for each year were added together to rank the months by the level of search volume. In doing so, you can see when your packages are most and least safe from porch pirates:

Porch Piracy

Somewhat predictably, the winter months have the highest level of interest. Evidently, the huge influx of online shopping orders that build up as the holidays get closer are a massive opportunity for porch thieves. It’s always a good idea to take precautions when it comes to keeping your orders safe, and it seems like one should be extra careful at this time of year.

The study on Package theft Search Volume ends with some tips on how to protect your orders from porch pirates:

  1. Leave detailed shipping instructions on the order. Pointing out specific places to put a package upon delivery can help drivers (if they pay attention to the instructions on the package).
  2. Deliver to a commercial address if possible. Most carriers will not leave packages outside of a commercial address after hours. They drop off packages inside, eliminating the risk of porch theft.
  3. Request a signature be required for delivery. Some companies charge extra for this option, but the additional $2 can be well worth the investment.
  4. Ship expedited delivery. Most shipping companies guarantee expedited packages by a specific time of day. Have the shipment come when you know someone will be home to collect it.
  5. If theft has occurred repeatedly, invest in a security camera to get visual evidence and pursue legal action.



About the Author

Jacob Wolinsky
Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Prior to ValueWalk, Jacob was VP of Business Development at SumZero. Prior to SumZero, Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years ago, but I have sold off most of the equities and now only purchase mutual funds and some ETFs. I also own a few grams of Gold and Silver