Tesla Inc Stock Slides As Q4 17 Deliveries Fall Short

Tesla Inc Stock Slides As Q4 17 Deliveries Fall Short
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Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) disappointed investors yet again during the fourth quarter by missing its production target for the Model 3. Tesla Q4 2017 deliveries totaled 29,870 vehicles, a slight miss versus the FactSet consensus of 30,000. Of that total, the consensus was expecting 4,100 Model 3 cars, but the automaker delivered only 1,550 of its mass-market car.

Breakdown of Tesla Q4 2017 deliveries

Tesla said it delivered 15,200 Model S sedans, beating the consensus at 13,800 sedans, and 13,120 Model X SUVs, which also beat the consensus at 12,200. In addition to the 1,550 Model 3 sedans that were delivered during the fourth quarter, more than 800 of them were still in transit at the end of the quarter, although that still leaves the company far short of the consensus for Model 3 deliveries. Tesla also had about 2,520 Model S and X vehicles in transit as of the end of the quarter.

Tesla had originally said it would ramp Model 3 production up to 5,000 cars per week by the end of 2017 and then reach 10,000 per week this year. However, the automaker has been battling production problems since early in the Model 3 production process. Tesla disclosed those production problems in October and then delayed the timeline for producing 5,000 Model 3 cars per week to late in the first quarter of 2018.

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Looking on the bright side

As would be expecting, the Tesla Q4 2017 deliveries report focuses on an optimistic worldview, noting that the quarter brought more record-high production numbers for the Model S and Model X. On a combined basis, deliveries of the two vehicles were up 27% year over year and 9% quarter over quarter. When discounting the massive miss on Model 3 deliveries, Tesla did exceed its previous guidance for total vehicle deliveries in 2017, coming in at 101,312 Model S sedans and Model X SUVs. That marked a 33% increase over 2016.

The Tesla Q4 2017 deliveries report also included commentary on the Model 3 production bottlenecks, as was expected. The company said it “made major progress” in addressing those bottlenecks, boosting the production rate “significantly towards the end of the quarter.”

In the quarter’s last seven “working days,” Tesla produced 793 Model 3 cars, while “in the last few day” of the quarter, the run rate on each manufacturing line “extrapolates to over 1,000 Model 3” cars weekly.

Excuse without explanation?

The automaker also said that it produced as many of its mass-market cars on December 9 as it did in the 4+ months before that.

“This is why we were not able to deliver many of these cars during the holiday season, just before the quarter ended. Model 3 deliveries to non-employee customers are now accelerating rapidly, and we’re confident our customers will love them.”

The automaker also said it continues “to focus on quality and efficiency” rather than production volumes, and as a result, it expects the production ramp to be “slightly more gradual” during the first quarter. Tesla now expects to end the first quarter producing about 2,500 Model 3 cars per week and reach the 5,000-car per week milestone by the end of the second quarter.

Following the Tesla Q4 2017 deliveries report, the company’s stock skidded by as much as 2.66% to $308.80 in premarket trading this morning.

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