Black Swans on the Horizon [Chart]

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Black Swans on the Horizon [Chart]

Black Swans on the Horizon [Chart]

 

The folks at Société Générale, France’s third largest bank, are avid birdwatchers.

 

Greenlight Beat The S&P In Q4: Here Are The Fund’s Biggest Winners

David Einhorn Greenlight CapitalDavid Einhorn's Greenlight Capital funds were up 11.9% for 2021, compared to the S&P 500's 28.7% return. Since its inception in May 1996, Greenlight has returned 1,882.6% cumulatively and 12.3% net on an annualized basis. Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more The fund was up 18.6% for the fourth quarter, with almost all Read More

Downside risks and their probability:

  • 45% – Great Britain leaves the EU
  • 40% – Greece defaults on debt and then (20%) Greece leaves the EU
  • 30% – China hard lands (growth of
  • 25% – US consumer saves more
  • 10% – Fed behind the dots

Upside risks and their probability:

  • 15% – Higher-than-expected price multipliers
  • 10% – Fast track reform, particularly in Euro Area

 

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