Mexico Just Got No Bids For This Critical Natgas License Round

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Mexico Just Got No Bids For This Critical Natgas License Round

I’ve talked a lot the last few years about America’s increasing natural gas exports to Mexico. With outgoing pipeline shipments from America’s shale plays having more than doubled over the last 18 months.

Brian Rogers – Investment Lessons

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But one development this week shows that U.S.-Mexico natgas trade still has some snags to be worked out — before it can contribute further as a source of demand growth in American markets.

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Mexico’s National Gas Control Center (CENAGAS) announced Tuesday that it received no bidders for a key auction of cross-border pipeline capacity. With the group having to take the extreme step of nullifying the pipeline bid round, and planning a complete re-issue of the tender later this summer.

Under the auction, CENAGAS had been making available 2.2 billion cubic feet per day of capacity on existing pipelines that cross from the U.S. into northern Mexico. With the idea being that private companies would use this pipeline space to import contracted volumes of natgas from U.S. producers.

As the chart below shows, that’s generally been a popular move of late. But end users in Mexico said the latest auction of pipeline capacity has a problem — it’s in the wrong place.

U.S. natgas exports to Mexico have been surging since 2015

Users noted that most of the pipeline space being offered by CENAGAS is in central Chihuahua state. Where most of the connecting pipeline network needed to get gas to markets in Mexico is in eastern Nuevo Leon and Tamaulipas states.

That mismatch led buyers to completely avoid this latest CENAGAS capacity auction. With users saying they would rather see the Mexican government offer space on better-positioned pipelines owned by state firm Pemex.

All of which points to a developing issue in infrastructure — namely, cross-border pipelines between Mexico and America are fine, but the network on the Mexican side still needs a lot of development to move gas to market.

There are a number of pipeline projects on the books to improve that situation — but progress has reportedly been slow. Watch to see if Mexican authorities can come up with any solutions when the pipeline tender is reissued, expected August 10.

Here’s to de-bottlenecking,

Dave Forest

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Dave Forest writes Pierce Points Free Daily E-Letter, an advisory on mining and energy read every day by BP, Rio Tinto, JPMorgan, BNP Paribas, Repsol, GDF Suez, GE, Platts, Warburg Pincus, and the UN. Sign up for free at www.piercepoints.com. Mr. Forest has funded and managed over $80 million in global exploration and development in natural resources, and continues to design and develop projects globally. He is a professional geologist.
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