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The Best Companies of the Medical Industry – September 2015

The Best Companies of the Medical Industry – September 2015

Best Companies of the Medical IndustryWhile ModernGraham supports the bottom-up approach to investing, many investors do utilize the top-down method, whereby an industry is selected before the company itself. With that in mind, this article will take a brief look at the best companies of the medical industry, selecting the most promising investment opportunities within the industry, and giving a broad look into the industry as a whole.

Out of the more than 500 companies reviewed by ModernGraham, 31 were identified as being closely related to the medical industry. Of those, only three are suitable for the Defensive Investor, fourteen are suitable for the Enterprising Investor, and the remaining fourteen are considered speculative at this time. Excluding any extreme outliers, the average company was rated as being priced at 152.5% to its MG Value (estimated intrinsic value), with an average PEmg ratio of 27.18. The industry as a whole, therefore would appear to be overvalued, particularly in comparison to the market (see Mr. Market’s Mental State).

The Elite

None of the companies reviewed were found to be both undervalued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor.

The Good

The following companies have been rated as fairly valued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

Baxter International Inc. (BAX)

Baxter International qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor’s only initial concern is the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, while the Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.24 in 2011 to an estimated $3.41 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 1.02% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price. (See the full valuation)

Quest Diagnostics Inc. (DGX)

Quest Diagnostics qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns with the level of debt relative to the current assets, but is willing to overlook those issues since the company meets the more conservative Defensive Investor’s requirements. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with the evaluation.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.34 in 2011 to an estimated $4.21 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 4.52% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price. (See the full valuation)

Edwards Lifesciences Corp (EW)

Edwards Lifesciences Corporation qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the lack of dividends and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only initially concerned by the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.75 in 2011 to an estimated $4.51 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 11.13% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price. (See the full valuation)

Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC)

Henry Schein Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, lack of dividends, as well as the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with the evaluation.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.45 in 2011 to an estimated $5.24 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.75% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price. (See the full valuation)

Varian Medical Systems, Inc. (VAR)

Varian Medical Systems Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but is not suitable for the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the inconsistent dividend record, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.82 in 2011 to an estimated $3.95 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.63% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price. (See the full valuation)

The Full List

To view the MG Value and PEmg information, you must be logged in as a premium member. Clicking on the company name will take you to the company’s latest valuation.

For the investor type, a “D” indicates the company is suitable for the Defensive Investor, an “E” indicates the company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor, and an “S” indicates the company is considered speculative at this time.

TickerName with LinkInvestor TypeLatest Valuation DateMG ValueRecent PricePrice as a percent of ValuePEmg RatioDiv. Yield
ALGNAlign Technology, Inc.E8/13/2015$56.96—%N/A
BAXBaxter International IncD9/11/2015$35.30—%1.30%
BCRC R Bard IncE8/8/2015$195.02—%0.49%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Co.S8/19/2015$138.84—%1.73%
BSXBoston Scientific CorporationS9/10/2015$16.79—%N/A
CAHCardinal Health IncS1/20/2015$81.43—%1.90%
CERNCerner CorporationE9/10/2015$62.33—%N/A
COVCovidien plcE10/16/2014$106.71—%1.35%
DGXQuest Diagnostics IncD7/16/2015$65.52—%2.32%
DVADaVita HealthCare Partners IncS11/14/2014$74.35—%N/A
ENDPEndo International plc – Ordinary SharesS7/15/2015$72.40—%N/A
ESRXExpress Scripts Holding CompanyS7/28/2015$82.43—%N/A
EWEdwards Lifesciences CorpE9/11/2015$140.33—%N/A
HCAHCA Holdings IncS7/28/2015$81.92—%N/A
HSICHenry Schein, Inc.E7/21/2015$133.84—%N/A
ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.E9/8/2015$491.16—%N/A
LHLaboratory Corp. of America HoldingsS5/13/2015$115.31—%N/A
MDTMedtronic PLCD7/18/2015$68.38—%2.22%
PDCOPatterson Companies, Inc.E9/22/2015$45.01—%1.96%
PKIPerkinElmer, Inc.S10/17/2014$45.93—%0.61%
PMDPsychemedics Corp.E8/9/2015$10.51—%5.71%
STJSt. Jude Medical, Inc.S2/17/2015$66.38—%1.75%
SYKStryker CorporationE7/15/2015$98.22—%1.41%
THCTenet Healthcare CorpS5/18/2015$42.44—%N/A
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.S8/6/2015$124.01—%0.48%
UHSUniversal Health Services, Inc.S7/16/2015$133.58—%0.30%
UNHUnitedHealth Group IncS11/15/2014$121.16—%1.65%
VARVarian Medical Systems, Inc.E8/12/2015$75.75—%N/A
WATWaters CorporationE9/22/2015$118.72—%N/A
XRAYDENTSPLY International Inc.E8/19/2015$52.60—%0.55%
ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings IncE9/24/2015$95.62—%0.92%

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here. This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions. Please also read our full disclaimer.