Unseasonally good weather makes institutional investors more likely to buy, and bad weather causes them to view stocks as overpriced
It’s no secret that institutional investors are just as susceptible to cognitive bias as the rest of us, but it turns out that the biases we normally think of, like different risk tolerances or attribution error, aren’t the whole story. Even the so-called smart money will pay more for stocks if the sun is shining.
“We show that deseasonalized cloud cover increases the likelihood of perceived overpricing in both individual stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) among institutional investors [and] institutional investors with lower exposure to deseasonalized cloud cover exhibit a greater propensity to buy,” write write William Goetzmann, Dasol Kim, Alok Kumar, and Qin Wang in their paper Weather-Induced Mood, Institutional Investors, and Stock Returns. “The impact of weather on beliefs and trading behavior is significant both statistically and economically.”
Qualivian Investment Partners performance update for the month ended July 31, 2022. Q2 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Dear Friends of the Fund, Please find our July 2022 performance report below for your review. Qualivian reached its four year track record in December 2021. We are actively weighing investment proposals. Starting in November Read More