Hertz Withdraws 2014 Guidance, But 2015 Looks Strong: Millman

Hertz Withdraws 2014 Guidance, But 2015 Looks Strong: Millman

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HTZ) has been lagging the performance of its peers in the booming retail car industry over the last year or so, but a new report from Millman Research Associates published on August 19th suggests that Hertz might finally be getting over the hump and positioned for stronger profits. Lead analyst Michael Millman rates the stock a Buy and he has placed a $32 price target on the equity.

Hertz withdraws 2014 guidance

To the surprise of very few, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HTZ) announced earlier this week that it was withdrawing its prior guidance for corporate performance for 2014. The firm has also repeatedly delayed earnings reports and is having to restate three years of SEC filings due to accounting irregularities.

Exclusive: Lee Ainslie Struggled During The Third Quarter As Tech Holdings Fell

activist short selling Investing investLee Ainslie's Maverick Capital had a difficult third quarter, although many hedge funds did. The quarter ended with the S&P 500's worst month since the beginning of the COVID pandemic. Q3 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Maverick fund returns Maverick USA was down 11.6% for the third quarter, bringing its year-to-date return to Read More

Millman estimates Hertz will only earn $.85 per share in 2014, but earnings will double to $1.71 in 2015.

Self-inflicted problems finally ending

In his report, Millman describes Hertz’s problems as self-inflicted, and notes it appears the company is making the right moves to get back on track. He also notes that the market backdrop should provide the company with some tailwind. “The good news is that the rental car market is (relatively) strong. Leisure prices have risen (even if Hertz didn’t have the capacity to take advantage). And “By mid-third quarter, usable fleet net of recalls has risen substantially” which should allow the company to benefit from good market conditions (as has Avis).”

However, Millman also points out that there is still no firm timetable for reporting past earnings. The company has hired several new accounting execs and support staff. On August 18th, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HTZ) also announced the retirement of Scott Sider, head of U.S. rental car operations, along with retirement of the Lead Director.

Possible Uber deal?

The Millman report also highlights that according to Reuters, Michel Taride (President Hertz Europe) has been having exploratory conversations regarding using a version of Uber’s app in Hertz car sharing business.  A deal with Uber could significantly increase the potential market for Hertz car share rentals by increasing Hertz car share membership, which would also likely mean that rentals would increase appreciably.

These negotiations, however, are likely to be lengthy, as the legal and practical issues to be hashed out are numerous and complex.

Updated on

No posts to display