Why The Troop Surge In Syria Will Fail

Last week President Trump significantly escalated the US military presence in Syria, sending some 400 Marines to the ISIS-controlled Raqqa, and several dozen Army Rangers to the contested area around Manbij. According to press reports, he will also station some 2,500 more US troops in Kuwait to be used as he wishes in Iraq and Syria.

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Illegal and Nonsensical

Why waste American lives and money if the Syrians and their allies are already doing the job?

Not only is it illegal under international law to send troops into another country without permission, it is also against US law for President Trump to take the country to war without a declaration. But not only is Trump’s first big war illegal: it is doomed to failure because it makes no sense.

President Trump says the purpose of the escalation is to defeat ISIS in Raqqa, its headquarters in Syria. However, the Syrian Army with its allies Russia and Iran are already close to defeating ISIS in Syria. Why must the US military be sent in when the Syrian army is already winning?

Does Trump wish to occupy eastern Syria and put a Washington-backed rebel government in charge? Has anyone told President Trump what that would cost in dollars and lives—including American lives? How would this US-backed rebel government respond to the approach of a Syrian army backed up by the Russian military?

Is Trump planning on handing eastern Syria over to the Kurds, who have been doing much of the fighting in the area? How does he think NATO-ally Turkey would take a de facto Kurdistan carved out of Syria with its eyes on Kurdish-inhabited southern Turkey?

And besides, by what rights would Washington carve up Syria or any other country?

He is being drawn into a quagmire by the neocons that will destroy scores of lives, cost us a fortune, and may well ruin his presidency.

Or is Trump going to give up on the US policy of “regime change” and hand conquered eastern Syria back to Assad? If that is the case, why waste American lives and money if the Syrians and their allies are already doing the job? Candidate Trump even said he was perfectly happy with Russia and Syria getting rid of ISIS. If US policy is shifting toward accepting an Assad victory, it could be achieved by ending arms supplies to the rebels and getting out of the way.

The Long-Run

It does not appear that President Trump or his advisors have thought through what happens next if the US military takes possession of Raqqa, Syria. What is the endgame? Maybe the neocons told him it would be a “cakewalk” as they promised before the 2003 Iraq invasion.

Part of the problem is that President Trump’s advisors believe the myth that the US “surge” in Iraq and Afghanistan was a great success and repeating it would bring the victory that eluded Obama with his reliance on drones and proxy military forces. A big show of US military force on the ground—like the 100,000 sent to Afghanistan by Obama in 2009—is what is needed in Syria, these experts argue. Rarely is it asked that if the surge worked so well why are Afghanistan and Iraq still a disaster?

President Trump’s escalation in Syria is doomed to failure. He is being drawn into a quagmire by the neocons that will destroy scores of lives, cost us a fortune, and may well ruin his presidency. He must de-escalate immediately before it is too late.

Reprinted from the Libertarian Institute.

Ron Paul

Ron Paul

Ron Paul is an American author, physician, and former politician. He served on the board of trustees of the Foundation for Economic Education.

This article was originally published on FEE.org. Read the original article.

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  • haneyr

    This article is why no one listens to Ron Paul. “Significantly” ??? Really Ron? So we can significantly raise the wages of all Americans by giving them a $10 yearly raise in salary.

    Trumps war???? You really hate this guy don’t you? Ignore the facts and make up your own silly labels.

    The “surge” did in fact turn the tide and would have succeeded except that it was stopped and we went into eight years of “I will end these wars”, by crippling the military and playing video games. You would have been a great strategist for the US in WWII. Guess that surge of US forces into Europe and the Pacific didn’t work too well did it? Or the continued presence of military forces to preserve the victory and shock of all shocks Ron. We created two regions of freedom and economic success. Even our stalemate in Korea showed what the US can do versus socialism and weakness. But then you would ignore reality just so you could try to keep yourself relevant.