In his Daily Market Notes report to investors, while commenting on earning strength, Louis Navellier wrote:
Peace Talk Rally
Prospects for de-escalation by Russia are moving markets on several fronts this morning.
Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more
Crude oil fell below $100, gold fell below $1,900, travel stocks are up, metals & mining down, defense stocks down, the VIX is below 20. Many instances can be found where a round trip to pre-Ukrainian levels has been reached. Transportation stocks are now positive for the year.
On the debt front, European sovereign rates are falling as are US rates with the 10-year back below 2.4%, though the inversion of the 5-year continues at 2.49% with the 2-year retreating less and still at 2.34%.
The Dow and S&P at still roughly 5% down from their January high and the NASDAQ is over 10% below its November high. Semiconductors are still down over 10% year-to-date.
What Really Matters
While inflation trends remain high and the Ukrainian situation is far from over, the relative value of stocks over other alternatives continues to shine through on what always really matters; earning strength. Forecasts for Q1 earning growth are +6.4%, Q2 6.7%, and Q3 10.5%.
Along with the seasonal strength of April that investors can typically look forward to, the rally in stocks looks likely to continue.
Coffee Beans
North American airlines have been the chief recipients of financial aid to avoid bankruptcies, racking up a total of $105 billion over the course of the last 18 months. Europe comes second with $70 billion, followed by the Asia-Pacific area with $33 billion. The majority of these aids come in the form of wage subsidies and loans. Source: Statista. See the full story here.
