S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks

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The S&P 500 index nearly topped its record high on Friday, but it closed lower following an intraday decline. Is this a topping pattern?

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The S&P 500 index lost 0.14% on Friday, Nov. 19, as it extended its short-term consolidation along the 4,700 level. The broad stock market went sideways despite record-breaking rallies in large tech stocks like AAPL, MSFT and NVDA. It still looks like a short-term topping pattern, as the S&P 500 index keeps bouncing from the Nov. 5 record high of 4,718.50.

The nearest important support level remains at 4,630-4,650 and the next support level is at 4,600. On the other hand, the resistance level is at 4,700-4,720. The S&P 500 continues to trade along the 4,700 level, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

S&P 500

Nasdaq Reached The New Record High

Let’s take a look at the Nasdaq 100 chart. The technology index reached the new record high of 16,625.86 on Friday, led by megacap tech stock rallies. It accelerated above its short-term upward trend line after breaking above the resistance level of 16,400 on Thursday. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some short-term overbought conditions.

Nasdaq

Apple And Microsoft At New Record Highs

Let’s take a look at the two biggest stocks in the S&P 500 index, Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT). Apple accelerated its uptrend after breaking above the resistance level of around $152-154. It reached the new record high on Friday at $161.02. Microsoft slightly extended its recent advance, as it reached the new record high of $345.10. The two biggest megacap tech stocks reached new record highs, as we can see on their daily charts:

Apple

Microsoft

Conclusion

The S&P 500 index is expected to open 0.4% higher this morning. We will likely see some more short-term fluctuations along the record high level. For now, it looks like a short-term consolidation and a flat correction within an uptrend.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 is fluctuating along the 4,700 level. For now, it looks like a short-term consolidation following the October-November rally.
  • Still no positions are justified from the risk/reward point of view.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,

Stock Trading Strategist

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