London House Prices Have Stuttered Under Sadiq

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London House Prices Have Stuttered Under Sadiq
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Research by the leading mortgage broker for global high-net-worths, Enness Global Mortgages, has revealed how house prices have performed under the last three London Mayors, ahead of Thursday’s mayoral election.

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Performance Of London's House Prices Under The Last Three Mayors

Enness analysed house price growth from the start and end of each term running back over the last five terms and three individuals to have held the position.

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The figures show that with the exception of Boris Johnson’s first term as Mayor and one that started in the midst of a property market crash, Sadiq Khan has presided over the worst period of house price growth in London.

Since he took office in May 2016, London house prices have climbed just 6.2%. While prices climbed by just 3% during Johnson’s first term between May 2008 and 2012, his second term did see them increase by a far steeper 54% until Khan took over in 2016.

During Johnson’s total time in the role, London house prices increased by 58% between May 2008 and 2016. This rate of growth has been surpassed by one man though. During Ken Livingstone’s two terms as Mayor of London between May 2000 and 2004, house prices in the capital shot up by 110%.

Interestingly, the rate of growth under Livingstone as an independent Mayor of London sat at 61% during his first term. This then fell to just 30% during his second term when he held the position as a Labour Mayor of London.

Despite an overall lower rate of growth, house prices in some boroughs have climbed notably during Sadiq Khan’s time in office. In Barking and Dagenham the average house price has increased 21% since 2016, while Newham (19%) and Waltham Forest (18%) have also seen some of the largest increases.

This hasn’t been the case everywhere though. The City of London (-20%), Hammersmith and Fulham (-15%), Kensington and Chelsea (-5%) and Westminster (-1%) have all seen house prices decline.

Sadiq Khan Has Helped Stimulate Boroughs

CEO of Enness Global Mortgages, Islay Robinson, commented:

“It’s perhaps unfair to say that Said Khan has been the worst London Mayor in over two decades where property price growth is concerned and a comparison would mean allowing him a second term in the role.

That said, there certainly seems to be some correlation between a Labour Mayor of London and a poor performing property market in the capital.

Of course, we can only go based on what the numbers tell us and in the case of Sadiq Khan, he certainly seems to have helped stimulate boroughs at the bottom end of the property price ladder, while London’s prime boroughs have actually seen values fall during his time in office.”

Table shows house price change across each term held by each London Mayor (Source: UK House Price Index)

Mayor Political party Term start Average London house price Term end Average London house price Change % Total Change (%)
Ken Livingstone Independent 4-May-00 £140,862 4-May-04 £227,330 61% 110%
Ken Livingstone Labour 4-May-04 £227,330 4-May-08 £295,163 30%
Boris Johnson Conservative 4-May-08 £295,163 9-May-12 £304,081 3% 58%
Boris Johnson Conservative 9-May-12 £304,081 9-May-16 £467,485 54%
Sadiq Khan Labour 9-May-16 £467,485 Present £496,269 6% 6%

 

Table shows house price growth across each London borough during each term held by each London Mayor (Source: UK House Price Index)

Borough Ken Livingstone Ken Livingstone Boris Johnson Boris Johnson Sadiq Khan
May 2000 to May 2004 May 2004 to May 2008 May 2008 to May 2012 May 2012 to May 2016 May 2016 to present
Barking and Dagenham 105.5% 25.4% -14.0% 61.0% 21%
Newham 100.4% 22.9% -4.7% 61.2% 19%
Waltham Forest 84.7% 26.7% -4.5% 76.3% 18%
Redbridge 80.8% 23.2% -2.6% 46.0% 17%
Bexley 74.5% 22.0% -7.2% 57.1% 16%
Sutton 59.5% 25.7% -4.3% 52.7% 15%
Hackney 67.7% 51.2% -2.4% 62.8% 14%
Lewisham 76.5% 28.6% 0.6% 70.1% 13%
Havering 78.5% 23.5% -8.2% 53.3% 12%
Croydon 66.8% 23.4% -8.5% 59.1% 12%
Greenwich 74.2% 28.2% -1.5% 59.5% 12%
Ealing 55.7% 27.4% 2.3% 51.1% 11%
Merton 53.1% 35.1% 0.1% 64.4% 10%
Hounslow 59.8% 28.0% -4.2% 49.6% 10%
Hillingdon 64.5% 21.1% -0.8% 55.1% 10%
Bromley 57.1% 22.4% -2.1% 53.1% 9%
Islington 49.0% 40.1% 13.5% 42.4% 9%
Haringey 61.6% 37.5% 5.8% 55.6% 8%
Enfield 69.5% 23.3% -4.5% 58.1% 6%
Southwark 64.2% 36.6% 10.5% 56.6% 5%
Harrow 64.1% 24.1% -3.4% 52.2% 5%
Richmond upon Thames 38.6% 36.6% 4.6% 46.5% 5%
Lambeth 48.8% 40.1% 7.0% 57.7% 4%
Kingston upon Thames 51.9% 28.9% 0.9% 53.3% 3%
Brent 67.9% 26.4% 1.5% 61.7% 3%
Camden 37.9% 47.4% 13.9% 40.2% 2%
Tower Hamlets 52.5% 47.7% -14.5% 64.5% 1%
Wandsworth 45.6% 40.2% 7.1% 52.2% 1%
Barnet 62.3% 25.7% 4.6% 51.0% 0%
Westminster 48.5% 39.2% 23.4% 51.5% -1%
Kensington and Chelsea 27.7% 55.7% 28.1% 31.6% -5%
Hammersmith and Fulham 40.9% 39.5% 14.0% 40.1% -15%
City of London 60.0% 39.2% 47.2% 47.4% -20%
London 61.4% 29.8% 3.0% 53.7% 6%
Inner London 56.2% 39.4% 7.1% 55.2% 4%
Outer London 65.8% 25.9% -2.5% 55.9% 10%

 


  • Enness Global arranges high-value mortgages and finances secured against prime real estate in the UK and internationally.
  • They work exclusively with over 500 global lenders to secure the best terms based on individual circumstances.
  • They offer cohesive global mortgage solutions via a network of international offices and understand the intricacies of individual market places.
  • Enness CEO, Islay Robinson, co-founded the company in 2007 and his expertise have recently been recognised by The Spear’s 500 Guide to the best private client advisers and also by Tatler, being the first HNW Property Financer to be included in their address book.
  • Co-founder of Enness and Managing Director Hugh Wade-Jones is a widely recognised industry leader, winning Best Broker for Large Loans for three consecutive years, and described by the Financial Times as the to go mortgage broker for the super rich.
  • Both have decades of industry experience between them and are unrivalled in their knowledge of the sector.

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