Hayden Capital Up 222% In 2020 (Full Q4 Letter)

Hayden Capital Up 222% In 2020 (Full Q4 Letter)

Last year was a year I’m sure we’ll all remember for the rest of our lives, given the amount of pain and turmoil it has caused almost every citizen of our world.  But if you only looked at our figures below, you may think that think that 2020 was a fortunate year.

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In a certain way, there may be some good that ultimately comes from the pain, since it’s usually turmoil that creates progress in society – people and companies (which are really just collections of people organized around a common goal) rarely change or improve their daily habits if they are fat and comfortable.  Change comes when you’re hungry (whether it’s literally feeding your family, or worried about the survivability of your business) and the status quo is no longer an option, that we are spurred to seek out better alternatives.

So while 2020 has brought about a great deal of pain for many, perhaps when we look back at this period in 10 years time, we may appreciate the silver lining.  In the US, people who have lost jobs or incomes due to Covid are going back to (online) schools at greater rates, using this period to set themselves up for better job opportunities afterwards.  Businesses whose processes were once analog / paper-based are forced to adopt digital tools, which over time will make their operations more efficient and ultimately result in higher profits (and thus resilience against future shocks like Covid).

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InvestAmid the turmoil in the public markets and the staggering macroeconomic environment, it should come as no surprise that the private markets are also struggling. In fact, there are some important links between private equity and the current economic environment. A closer look at PE reveals that the industry often serves as a leading indicator Read More

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In fact, many of these trends were already in place, but it took a large external “wake-up call” to kick it into high gear.  2020 was really a year of acceleration, more than anything else – one such instance being US ecommerce penetration, which accelerated by at least 3 years.  Southeast Asian ecommerce penetration, which is a relatively new consumer habit, was pulled forward even more.  As mentioned in our previous letters, this acceleration in ecommerce and internet adoption tremendously benefitted our portfolio, and rapidly increased the underlying value of our investments by a similar amount.

During the last quarter of 2020, our portfolio appreciated by +22.1%.  Comparatively, the S&P 500 returned +12.2% and the MSCI World returned +14.4%.  This brings our full year 2020 return to +222.4% vs. +18.4% for the S&P 500 and +16.3% for the MSCI World.  Since inception, we have returned +471.1% for our partners (net of fees), or a +32.8% annualized return…

Full Hayden 2020 letter

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Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)www.valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years ago, but I have sold off most of the equities and now only purchase mutual funds and some ETFs. I also own a few grams of Gold and Silver
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