And You Thought They Smelled Bad On The Outside – Commodity ETF Over/Under Performance 2015

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Via Attain Capital

You’ve heard the chattering, you’ve read the headlines, and now you can get a closer look at just how much some of the commodity markets have fallen in 2015.

As a reminder, this is only looking at a couple of the thousands of futures markets out there.

Here’s our monthly look at:

1. How the numerous commodity ETFs which have sprung onto the scene the past few years are tracking a simple strategy of just buying the December futures market of that commodity, under the theory that the ETF will have to roll their positions periodically throughout the year, and in doing so take on costs the simple strategy does not have.

2. How the passive investment strategy of being long commodities (either via futures or ETFs) compare to an active strategy going both long and short commodity markets via a professional commodity trading advisor (as tracked by the BarclayHedge Ag Trader Index).

(Performance as of 8/31/2015)

Commodity ETF Over/Under Performance 2015
Commodity Futures ETF Difference
Crude Oil $CL_F
Brent Oil $NBZ_F
Natural Gas $NG_F
-0.01% font>
Cocoa $CC_F
-2.62% font>
Coffee $KC_F
-3.59% font>
Corn $ZC_F
-3.50% font>
Cotton $CT_F
Live Cattle $LE_F
–1.48% font>
Lean Hogs $LH_F
-9.44% font>
Sugar $SB_F
Soybeans $ZS_F
-2.61% font>
Wheat $ZW_F
-3.38% font>
Average strong> -13.33% strong> -16.07% strong> -2.73% strong> font>
Average without Hogs strong> -13.43% strong> -15.56% strong> -2.12% strong> font>
Commodity Index $DBC -15.01% font>
Long/Short Ag Trader CTAs 0.03%

(Disclaimer: Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results)
(Disclaimer: Sugar uses the October contract, Soybeans the November contract.)
Long/Short Ag Trader CTA = Barclayhedge Ag Traders Index


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