TeamViewer IPO Story: If Newsfeed Is Silent, Get Ready For A Buyout

TeamViewer IPO Story: If Newsfeed Is Silent, Get Ready For A Buyout

Alex Gavrish discusses TeamViewer IPO

Shares of TeamViewer AG started trading on September 25th, 2019. Teamviewer priced its IPO at EUR 26.25 per share, with Permira funds selling a 42% stake in the company. At the current market price of about EUR 24 per share, TeamViewer’s market cap is approximately EUR 4.8 billion.

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Despite the fact that it was one of the largest IPOs in Europe in 2019 and that reportedly the IPO was many times oversubscribed, the trading volume over past month (since IPO) was very low. In addition to this, the newsfeed on the company is almost completely silent.

Compared to many other tech companies, Teamviewer is profitable and generates free cash flow. For the first six months of 2019 company reported revenue of EUR 181 mil, EBITDA of EUR 108 mil, pre-tax free cash flow of EUR 61.7 mil. With a net debt of EUR 726 mil (according to IPO prospectus, as of June 30, 2019), TeamViewer’s EV (enterprise value) is EUR 5,526 mil. Based on an annualized EBITDA of EUR 216 mil, company is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA valuation multiple of x25.6.

Considering TeamViewer’s growth of almost 100% in paying user base as well as EBITDA (H1 2019 EBITDA of EUR 108 mil vs. EUR 47 mil in H1 2018; and H1 2019 revenue of EUR 181 mil vs. EUR 102 mil in H1 2018), current valuation multiple is reasonable and attractive.

An almost completely silent newsfeed on the company as well as very low trading volume relative to the number of shares sold in the IPO (84 million shares) might be indicative of a possible upcoming buyout offer or significant share price outperformance.

Article By Alex Gavrish, Etalon Capital Ltd; author of "Story Investing"  

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Alex Gavrish is a founder and CEO of Etalon Capital Ltd. Alex was born and grew up in Kiev, Ukraine, then part of the Soviet Union, and immigrated to Israel at the age of 18. He is the author of three books: Wall Street: Back to Basics, which explains how investors can achieve greater success in managing their investments and make better investment decisions. In his second book Story Investing he proposes to look at companies and stocks as stories, and shows that the narrative mode of thinking is complementary to analytical one and not its enemy. Using techniques and insights from storytelling and fiction literature, investors can be more creative and finally practice the art part of investing. Time Investing is an effort to better understand time – one of the most difficult aspects of the investment practice. Alex has an MBA degree from Technion, Israel.

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