Spain, Germany, Japan, HK Top ‘Most Attractive Markets’ List

Equities performance analysis

Citi’s Global Quantitative Research team highlighted equities ranked by country attractiveness in their research note ‘Tactical Market Allocation – February 2014.’

The selection model covers countries for which ETFs are available and uses inputs such as fundamental and macro-economic indicators.

Overview global equities

Global equities across both emerging and developing markets were impacted adversely by the turmoil that engulfed currencies of certain emerging countries.

Investors moved about $10B out of US equity funds though fund flows to Europe and Japan were positive.

Long-term model performance

The model envisages a long position in the top 5 most attractive countries and a short position in the bottom 5 positions. The portfolio is held for a month with returns measured in USD.

The performance of the model is shown in the table below.

Current country-wise attractiveness ranking order

The chart below shows the latest readings generated from Citi’s model.

Spain, Germany, Japan, HK Top 'Most Attractive Markets' List

The five most attractive countries are Japan, Germany, Spain, Hong Kong and Italy. Countries that ranked the lowest were Mexico, Brazil, Korea, Malaysia and Switzerland.

A long only strategy

The model was also evaluated with a long position only – across the most attractive markets. The performance in this case is as follows.

3-long-only spain

The February top-ranked countries…and their ETFs

Here is a list of the largest ETFs in the countries that are ranked as the most attractive in Citi’s latest evaluation.

Japan- iShares MSCI Germany Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWG), WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (NYSEARCA:DXJ)

Germany –  iShares MSCI Germany Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWG), First Trust Exchange Traded AlphaDEX Fund II

Spain – iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF (NYSEARCA:EWP)

Hong Kong – iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWH)

Italy – iShares MSCI Italy Index (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWI)

…And the countries at the bottom of the heap

Mexico – iShares MSCI Mexico Inv. Mt. Idx. (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWW)

Brazil – iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWZ)

Korea – iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund(ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWY)

Malaysia – iShares MSCI Malaysia Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWM)

Switzerland – iShares MSCI Switzerland Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EWL)

About the Author

Saul Griffith
Saul Griffith is an investor in stocks, commodities and forex, writing under a pen name. Saul has top accounting qualifications and extensive experience in industry and the financial markets. He also has an abiding interest in breaking news that could be a harbinger of new trends and give insight into an instrument’s potential for providing value, growth or yield.