Tilson on why he thinks Fannie Mae is a long

Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing his presentation on why Fannie Mae is a long and Uber is a short; Beyond Meat gets clobbered; Enrique Abeyta’s latest recommendation; NYC to Get 250 Miles of Protected Bike Lanes; New helmet.

1) Yesterday, I presented at the Robin Hood Investors Conference, telling the audience why I think Fannie Mae is a long and Uber (UBER) is a short.

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Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Seth Klarman Tells His Investors: Central Banks Are Treating Investors Like “Foolish Children”

Volatility"Surreal doesn't even begin to describe this moment," Seth Klarman noted in his second-quarter letter to the Baupost Group investors.  Commenting on the market developments over the past six months, the value investor stated that events, which would typically occur over an extended time frame, had been compressed into just a few months. He noted Read More


My Empire Investment Report subscribers can look forward to a full breakdown of my presentation in the November issue.

2) Regular Empire Financial Daily readers know I'm highly skeptical of recent IPOs in general.

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Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

To appreciate the risks of investing in these companies, look no further than Beyond Meat (BYND), which I warned investors to avoid in my July 30 e-mail. At the time, when the stock was at about $195, I predicted that shares "will be cut in half – below $100 – by the end of the year"... a prediction that proved to be far too conservative.

The company reported third-quarter results after the close yesterday that were actually strong, beating sales and earnings estimates. Nevertheless, the stock was down nearly 20% this morning to $86, thanks to an excessive valuation and approximately three-fourths of its shares becoming unlocked. Here are two good articles about it:

3) That being said, there are exceptions...

Yesterday, my colleague Enrique Abeyta – who is launching his brand-new Empire Elite Trader newsletter – recommended shares of one company that just started trading... and I have to admit, I agree with him that it has huge upside potential.

To learn how to check it out – and try Empire Elite Trader absolutely risk-free for 30 days – click here.

4) As a daily cyclist in Manhattan, this is great to see! After Spike in Deaths, New York to Get 250 Miles of Protected Bike Lanes. Excerpt:

Under pressure from the City Council, the city would be required to build 250 miles of protected bike lanes in the coming years, along with a dizzying list of other street upgrades that safety advocates have long called for.

5) Speaking of biking, I just wore for the first time this morning something that could very well save my life someday: the Lumos Kickstart Helmet.

The front and back lights, which are built into the helmet, are so much brighter and more visible than the lights I attached to my old one. Plus, it has a cool safety feature: a motion sensor that, if it detects me braking hard, turns on all the rear lights super bright to warn cars behind me.

At $179, it's a bit pricey, but even though I'm usually a cheapskate, I don't scrimp on safety, whether it's on my bike, driving one of the world's safest cars (a new Volvo XC60), hiring a professional guide when I'm rock climbing/mountaineering, etc.

Best regards,

Whitney