Shiller: Public Debt Worries Could Eventually Offset The Trump Effect

Yale’s Robert Shiller warns public debt worries could eventually offset the Trump effect. “A lot of people have that on their mind, and they think it’s got to turn soon. I’m kind of with that. You know, if people think that, they’re going to make it happen,” Shiller said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Trading Nation.”

Shiller: Public Debt Worries Could Eventually Offset The Trump Effect

Coho Capital 2Q20 Commentary: Podcasts, The New Talk Radio

Coho Capital LogoCoho Capital commentary for the second quarter ended June 30, 2020. Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Dear Partners, Coho Capital returned 46.6% during the first half of the year compared to a loss of 3.1% in the S&P 500. Many of our holdings, such as Netflix, Amazon, and Spotify, were perceived beneficiaries Read More

Get The Full Seth Klarman Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Seth Klarman in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

Q4 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc


Why are these narratives such a driving force.

Well this is human nature. I think our our mind is part of our human intellect. We are smart stories and we want to get the story we want to know a sequence of events. We want to know what is the interpreter What is the moral here. People spend a lot of time telling stories to each other. There's so many economic statistics. It's like millions of different ways you could compute them or massage them or manipulate them. People can't grasp what it's impossible to grasp all that so you have to listen to stories of people who are good storytellers like Donald J Trump is a brilliant storyteller. They tend to rise in our economy.

A lot of data points out there one of those data points the record budget deficit. What is your perspective on that. How could that contribute to the end of the bull market here.

The question is whether it gets prominence in public attention as a as a source of troubles. And I don't know. You know that attention to public debt has waxed and waned throughout history. You know Thomas Jefferson was against it then we used to be much more against the government incurring debt until now. Now it's set record levels but people aren't that worried about it. So summarize some of storyteller and you know the critics of Trump like OPEC or not AOC sorry are not criticizing for that we have this so-called new monetary theory that says it's OK to run a deficit. So you know it's not like it's a debate it seems like the public is OK with it for now but I think in the back of their minds they're not so sure.