Jeffrey Gundlach September 2018 Webcast: “Miracle Grow” [Slides]

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Jeffrey Gundlach September 2018 Webcast: “Miracle Grow” [Slides]

Jeffrey Gundlach’s webcast slides for the month of September 2018, titled, “Miracle Grow.”

Miracle Grow – TAB I

Gross Domestic Product – Real and Nominal

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Source: Bloomberg

GDP = Gross Domestic Product includes the total amount of goods and services produced within a given country. Nominal GDP is adjusted for inflation.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Conference Board US Leading Index Leading indicators include economic variables that tend to move before changes in the overall economy including average workweek, production, jobless claims, new order manufacturing, build permits, S&P 500 stock index, leading credit index, average consumer expectations, etc.. You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. Consumer and Business Sentiment (5 years)

As of August 31, 2018

Miracle Grow

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Z‐score indicates how many standard deviations an element is form the mean.

[REITs]

Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI

Miracle Grow

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

ISM Manufacturing Index is based on surveys of more than 300 manufacturing firms by the Institute of Supply & Management. PMI = Purchasing Managers’ Index is an indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment. You cannot invest directly in an index.

VOILA!!!

Miracle Grow

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

S&P 500 is an capitalization‐weighted index of 500 stocks. You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. Budget Deficit % of GDP

Miracle Grow

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

GDP = Gross domestic Product measures the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. FDDSGDP Index is the U.S. Treasury Federal Budget Deficit or surplus as a % of Nominal GDP. You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. Federal Debt as % GDP

Miracle Grow

As of April 27, 2018

GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. CBO = Congressional Budget Office. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Government Investment as % of GDP

Miracle Grow

Source: TopdownCharts as of April 27, 2018

GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. You cannot invest directly in an index.

See the full slides below.

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Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years ago, but I have sold off most of the equities and now only purchase mutual funds and some ETFs. I also own a few grams of Gold and Silver

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