Politics

As Predicted Here Days Ago, Kavanaugh Accused of Second Sexual Attack

She May Want Publicity or to Save Roe; Also, Isolated Sex Attacks are Rare

As predicted several days ago by public interest law professor John Banzhaf, a second woman has come forward to accuse Brett Kavanaugh of an illegal sexual attack.

Banzhaf said then that such an event was far more than a mere possibility, or the musings of conspiracy theorists, for several reasons, and that the Republicans should prepare for it.

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Brett Kavanaugh
By White House photo by Eric Draper [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons
First, he notes, as most sex crime detectives will affirm, acts of sexual violence by males against females are rarely individual, isolated, and one-time-only events.

On the contrary, an offender, once so inclined, usually commits a series of such sexual assaults against different victims, especially if the tendency manifested itself early in his life.

Thus, while it's possible that a teen may grow out of such behavior as he matures, and/or that other events (such as almost getting caught, establishing a stable relationship with a female, etc.) may cause him to change, it would be rare if Ford were Kavanaugh's only female victim, teen or adult, if the type of attack she has described actually occurred.

This new one allegedly occurred Yale University.

So, if such an event did happen, and there were other victims of similar attacks, they may be persuaded to likewise come forward and similarly accuse Kavanaugh, now that Ford has broken the ice, not only emboldening others, but also making similar accusations seem much more credible.

This, of course, is exactly what has happened in many #MeToo type situations.

These women might also be additionally motivated to come forward now if they fear that Kavanaugh's confirmation would lead to overturning Roe v. Wade and its protection for abortion rights.

Second, in addition to legitimate complainants who have in fact suffered a sexual attack by Kavanaugh possibly coming forward shortly, Banzhaf predicted, there should be real concern that some women may make public complaints of sexual assault against him which are completely false.

This could easily occur because they are strong supporters of abortion rights, and/or because they are seeking public attention and perks such as TV appearances or book contracts,

Making such false accusations could be very easy, especially if the women claim they can't remember most specific details of the event to which there are no other witnesses, and if they are not required to testify under oath and the threat of perjury.

Banzhaf notes that there are probably dozens if not hundreds of women who went to an all-girl school near Georgetown Prep at the time, and would be in a position to make a credible allegation.

This would be especially true if their accusation involved a fictitious event as to which - unlike Ford's allegation - the new accuser conveniently claimed there were no other witnesses.

But similar very damaging allegations could also be made by any one of the hundreds of women who have had social and/or professional interactions with Kavanaugh subsequent to his graduation from prep school.

It is also not even essential that a subsequent allegation be very credible, since many people may assume that, while Ford might be making a false or at least a mistaken allegation, the mere presence of a second similar claim adds credence to Ford's, and that therefore both women should be believed - at least in the absence of strong evidence, beyond Kavanaugh's mere denial, that the allegations are false.

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