Stocks

A Cheap Way To Offset Rising Gas Prices – Shell Midstream Partners (SHLX)

Per the U.S. Energy Information Administration, a gallon of regular gasoline in the U.S. costs $0.05 more this week than last. It’s up $0.33 from a year ago.

[REITs]

See 2017 Hedge Fund Letters.

chesapeake energy stock oklahoma fracking
skeeze / Pixabay

It makes sense. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price is up 37% over the past 12 months.

So, what can we do?

Most of us have to buy gas, so there’s nothing we can do about the higher gas prices. But there is a way to offset them.

I suggest you invest in a business that benefits from these higher gas prices.

The one I have in mind just hit its lowest price ever. Recent operational issues have quashed its ability to enjoy the benefits of oil price largesse.

But the issues will soon be history. And that should allow you to offset the costs to fill up your tank with the payouts you receive from this investment…

Real Exposure to the Gas Pump

Shell Midstream Partners (NYSE: SHLX) will safely pay us at least a 6% yield while we wait for its price to move back up. And we could see another 70% in capital gains over the next two years for this master limited partnership (MLP).

It has real exposure to the gas pump. For example, it owns a pipeline that connects several Louisiana refineries to pipelines that deliver the gasoline elsewhere. It also owns stakes in some of those pipelines.

Shell Midstream also transports crude oil from the Gulf of Mexico to the U.S. for refining into gasoline.

Business Is Strong

Royal Dutch Shell is one of the world’s largest energy companies. It created Shell Midstream and backs it today.

Shell Midstream owns and operates oil pipelines and storage assets. It gathers gas in West Texas’ prolific Permian Basin too.

Today, it owns interests in 15 pipelines. They transport energy in the eastern half of the U.S., and the Gulf of Mexico.

And it’s busy, especially in the Gulf:

Gas Prices

Last year, U.S. offshore crude oil production hit its highest level ever.

Shell Midstream’s sales have nearly doubled since 2014 … to $470 million last year.

And this is despite several headwinds.

Years of Growth Ahead

Shell Midstream had some issues in the Gulf of Mexico in the fourth quarter. A production platform connected to its Auger pipeline caught on fire. And oil fields that feed its Odyssey pipeline have had operational issues.

Hurricane Harvey cut income by at least $15 million due to outages and repairs, too.

Auger’s running again. The platforms contributing most of its daily throughput are, too. The company expects Odyssey will run normally by the second quarter.

All those issues are nearly history.

Analysts polled by Bloomberg expect 2018 sales to grow to $607 million. The next year they should be more than $800 million. That’s a nearly 90% increase in two years.

Importantly, Shell Midstream shares well with its investors. Here are its announced payouts since it went public:

2014201520162017
Dividends$0.10$0.79$1.03$1.25
Source: Bloomberg

It has increased its payments to investors every quarter … and I expect that will continue.

To be clear, MLPs like Shell Midstream follow special tax rules that are different from common stocks. I recommend readers contact their tax adviser before establishing a position in this or any other MLP.

The Bottom Line

After several months of struggle, Shell Midstream shares are cheap. I don’t believe you have to hurry to buy, though.

I would recommend you wait until shares enter an uptrend to take a position. I would like to see them move to at least $22.50 before buying.

Then, pat yourself on the back. You are on the way to making money and reducing expenses … at the same time.

Good investing,

Brian Christopher

Senior Analyst, Banyan Hill Publishing

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