Bitcoin Investment could be one in a life time opportunity. Current Bitcoin adaption rate is less than one present, here is how we can determine that. There are about 7.6 billion people on this planet, it would be nice if all of them would be bitcoin users, but since it’s not possible for multiple reasons, we will have to focus on spastic target group. Eliminating certain age groups and people without access to internet we have reached to our target group. There are about 2m-20m bitcoin users and out target group is 2.4B people, this is how we estimated current bitcoin assassin ratio.
To calculate bitcoin adoption lets assume that bitcoin price is a 1-1 function of a bitcoin adaption growth, if bitcoin adoption will reach up to 10%, then bitcoin price should be within interval of $120,000 and $1,200,000 respectively. By utilizing previous user growth and bitcoin price we can estimate approximate number of years until bitcoin will reach 10% adoption. Or it could be worth zero or anywhere between those numbers (or even above $1.2 million) Caveat emptor.
Aimstone explains the math in the YouTube video embedded below
you are probably wondering what where those numbers came from so let me take you through the math if it seems confusing 2 million users divided by 2.4 billion people of target sample be equal to zero point zero eighty three percent and twenty million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal to zero point eighty three percent respectively so let’s take for example this limit first twenty million users divided by 2.4 billion people of target sample equal to zero point eighty three percent so in order to get ten percent
we will also multiply left and right side by twelve 12 multiplied by 20 million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal to twelve multiplied by zero point eighty three percent which implies two hundred forty million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal ten percent and this is what we want since the Bitcoin price is a one-to-one a function of a Bitcoin adoption then respectively ten thousand dollars USD multiplied by 12 equal to one hundred twenty thousand dollars
now we have another limit two million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal to zero point zero eighty three percent now we want to get ten percent as a result in this limit as well so get ten percent now we will have to multiply that by 12 but by 100 because 0.0 83% is 10 times smaller than zero point eighty three percent so 120 multiplied by two million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal to the 120 multiplied by zero point zero 83% which implies 240 million users divided by two point four billion people of target sample equal to ten percent respectively once again
since this is one-to-one function will help to multiply hundred twenty by the Bitcoin price as well 120 multiplied by ten thousand dollars equal to 1 million two hundred thousand dollars so 10 percent Bitcoin adoption is equivalent to 240 million users at the price of one BTC should be around $120,000 and 1 million two hundred thousand dollars yes there is more what if we can get 100 percent Bitcoin adoption if we reach 100 percent Bitcoin adoption that 1 BTC should be around 1.2 million dollars and twelve million dollars respectively
