A total solar eclipse is set to take place on Monday, August 21, and it will be the first one in 99 years that will cast its shadow across the entire continent in what is called a “path of totality.” It will also be the first eclipse since 1776 whose path falls only in the U.S., which is why it has been dubbed “The Great American Eclipse.”
Looking at statistics from NASA dating back to 1900 shows that it has been 26 years since the last total eclipse was visible in one of the 50 U.S. states, which is more than double the previous longest streak of 11 years. Not to mention, if you miss this one, you’ll have to wait another six years for the next.
But should you ever invest based on the solar system? Absolutely not, as things like fundamentals, valuations, and technicals are still what drive markets. Nevertheless, this relatively rare event has many wondering what stocks have done around previous eclipses, so we did some research?it’s what we do.
Carlson Capital's Black Diamond Arbitrage fund is up 5.77% for the first eight months of the year, including a 1.72% return for August. Last year, the fund returned 2.39% for the whole year. Q3 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more The fund consists of merger arbitrage mainly consisting of signed or "rate of return" Read More
Per Ryan Detrick, Senior Market Strategist, “Are the stars aligned for the eclipse to trigger a major equity market correction? Fortunately, history has shown us that since 1900, any time a total solar eclipse has been seen in the U.S., equity prices have gone up 17.2% a year later. So it appears our biggest worry isn’t what stocks might do, but whether those glasses we bought online are officially approved by NASA!”
Article by LPL Research