Stocks Trading Closest to Net Current Asset Value – April 2017

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By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the companies in the MG Universe which trade the closest to their Net Current Asset Value (NCAV).  NCAV is a useful figure for determining whether a company is trading at a significant bargain.

NCAV is calculated by taking the total current assets less the total liabilities.  In other words, the figure is what would be left if investors purchased the company and used cash to pay off all of the liabilities.  The remainder would then be available to be distributed to the investors.  As a result, companies should rarely, if ever, trade below NCAV.  Companies that trade close to the figure may also have some opportunities for profit.

Each company I’ve selected has been determined to be suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor and undervalued according to the ModernGraham approach.  Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

Seneca Foods Corp (SENEA)

Seneca Foods Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.73 in 2012 to an estimated $2.72 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.19% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Seneca Foods Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $69.2. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.87, which was below the industry average of 24.74, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $16.89.  (See the full valuation)

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LGI Homes Inc (LGIH)

LGI Homes Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.39 in 2013 to an estimated $2.76 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.6% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into LGI Homes Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.13. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.7, which was below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $15.24.  (See the full valuation)

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KB Home (KBH)

KB Home is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.72 in 2013 to an estimated $2.2 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.52% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into KB Home revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $25.21. The company pays a dividend of $0.1 per share, for a yield of 0.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 7.47, which was below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $8.5.  (See the full valuation)

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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, and poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.64 in 2013 to an estimated $1.42 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.17% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Super Micro Computer, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $21.83. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.85, which was below the industry average of 38.13, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $10.02.  (See the full valuation)

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D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)

D.R. Horton, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.22 in 2013 to an estimated $2.18 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.23% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into D.R. Horton, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $32.39. The company pays a dividend of $0.32 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.97, which was below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $13.03.  (See the full valuation)

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing those holdings within the next 72 hours.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not related to the companies mentioned in any capacity.  Please take a moment to read our detailed disclaimer.  This article first appeared on ModernGraham.

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