Samuel Arbesman is a complexity scientist and Scientist in Residence at Lux Capital. He is also a Senior Fellow of the Silicon Flatirons Center for Law, Technology, and Entrepreneurship at the University of Colorado and a Research Fellow of the Long Now Foundation. In addition to Overcomplicated: Technology at the Limits of Comprehension, he is the author of The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date.
Samuel Arbesman – Overcomplicated
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The Voss Value Fund was up 4.09% net for the second quarter, while the Voss Value Offshore Fund was up 3.93%. The Russell 2000 returned 25.42%, the Russell 2000 Value returned 18.24%, and the S&P 500 gained 20.54%. In July, the funds did much better with a return of 15.25% for the Voss Value Fund Read More
Five Good Questions:
- I view this book as a beautiful blend of technology and philosophy. What is the difference between “complicated” and “complex” in your view?
- What is “the kluge” and how is becoming an impactful part of our lives?
- How is a top-down, physics-inspired approach to technology losing ground to a bottom-up, biology-inspired approach?
- What are some ways we can fight the increasing complication we see in technology? What’s a T-shaped individual?
- Is it just part of human nature to seek band-aid solutions which add to the eventual complexity and frailty of our systems?
Samuel Arbesman’s Book Recommendation:
Samuel Arbesman – Overcomplicated: Description
Overcomplicated: Technology at the Limits of Comprehension by Samuel Arbesman
Why did the New York Stock Exchange suspend trading without warning on July 8, 2015? Why did certain Toyota vehicles accelerate uncontrollably against the will of their drivers? Why does the programming inside our airplanes occasionally surprise its creators?
After a thorough analysis by the top experts, the answers still elude us.
You don’t understand the software running your car or your iPhone. But here’s a secret: neither do the geniuses at Apple or the Ph.D.’s at Toyota—not perfectly, anyway. No one, not lawyers, doctors, accountants, or policy makers, fully grasps the rules governing your tax return, your retirement account, or your hospital’s medical machinery. The same technological advances that have simplified our lives have made the systems governing our lives incomprehensible, unpredictable, and overcomplicated.
In Overcomplicated, complexity scientist Samuel Arbesman offers a fresh, insightful field guide to living with complex technologies that defy human comprehension. As technology grows more complex, Arbesman argues, its behavior mimics the vagaries of the natural world more than it conforms to a mathematical model. If we are to survive and thrive in this new age, we must abandon our need for governing principles and rules and accept the chaos. By embracing and observing the freak accidents and flukes that disrupt our lives, we can gain valuable clues about how our algorithms really work. What’s more, we will become better thinkers, scientists, and innovators as a result.
Lucid and energizing, this book is a vital new analysis of the world heralded as “modern” for anyone who wants to live wisely.
Samuel Arbesman – Overcomplicated: Review
“[Arbesman] argues convincingly…He is undoubtedly right. The dream that we can fully understand our complex man-made systems is just that—a dream.” – The Wall Street Journal
“Acquiring fluency in systems-speak is fast becoming a civic duty… Arbesman’s freshly elucidated concepts are excellent field tools: they are the translucent sampling containers you take with you as you wade through the glitch-infested shallows of an algorithm.” – New Scientist
“I was shocked [by] this elegant, eye-opening book…Fascinating and full of new ideas I will use in argument from now on.” – Financial Times
“Overcomplicated has the scintillating, big-idea premise of an ‘it’ business book, but it’s more than a Hudson News read: It presents a new way to think about the world that makes seemingly impossible problems approachable. By identifying how tangled our world has gotten, we can figure out the best ways to undo the knots.” – Vox