Least Terrible Presidential Candidate – will they Win the Elections?
Find the best candidate for the job, elect them to office: that is how democracy should work. But that is not what this election feels like to most Americans.
Creating Strategic Value With Joseph Calandro Jr.
ValueWalk's Raul Panganiban interviews Joseph Calandro Jr., Managing Director of a global consulting firm and fellow of the Gabelli Center for Global Security Analysis at Fordham University. Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Interview with Joseph Calandro Jr. ValueWalk's . . . SORRY! This content is exclusively for paying members. SIGN UP HERE Read More
Least Terrible Presidential Candidate
The figures come from a Pew Research Center survey of registered voters. The national survey shows the Trump and Clinton camps starkly divided over what the nation’s problems are, and how to fix them.
But when it comes to the two main party’s candidates themselves, the views of America’s electorate seem remarkably well aligned. As few as 9% of registered voters think Donald Trump would make a “great” president; only 2% more think Hillary Clinton would do the same. If you can’t be great, at least be good – but just 18% think Trump could manage a B-grade performance in the Oval Office. Here again, Clinton has a 2% lead, giving her just 20% of registered voters convinced she could be a “good” president.
In one category, Clinton and Trump poll exactly the same numbers: 12% of registered voters surveyed think either candidate would make a “poor” president.
But Clinton is clearly in the lead in the two remaining categories. And that is good news for her. At least, if you consider “average” a positive thing: here, Clinton’s 22% is seven points ahead of Trump’s 15%.
However, if this chart is any indication of voting intentions, the last category might be the decisive one. At the top of the chart, Trump’s low positives lag only slightly behind Clinton’s. But his high negatives in the bottom category of the chart are a lot worse than hers. While 33% think Hillary Clinton would be “terrible” as president, no less than 43% think the same about Donald Trump.
At 10%, that gap is wider than in any of the other categories. In the topsy-turvy land of negative expectations, Trump’s double-digit lead over Clinton in the terrible department could spell his doom and might mean her salvation.
At least, if voters, resigned to the fact that a “great” president is unavailable, are willing to settle for the “least terrible” candidate instead. If they decide to go for “least average”, Trump still has more than a fighting chance.
Least Terrible Presidential Candidate – what do you think?
Will the “Least Terrible” Candidate Win the Elections? via Howmuch.net