Russia is getting ready for a war against the United States and its NATO allies, according to a European think tank that analyzed recent Russian military drills.
The alarming warning comes a day after the British defense secretary, Michael Fallon, said that the conflict in Ukraine was “red hot” and Russian-backed rebels could yet claim more territory in the east of the country.
Fallon added that he did not see any indications that the violence could end in the nearest future, especially after this week Russian-backed separatists along with – as it is widely believed – Russian troops have launched some of their heaviest artillery attacks on the Ukrainian forces’ positions in six months.
Analysts at the European Leadership Network think tank conducted an analysis of large-scale military drills that took place in March by Russia as well as smaller military drills carried out by NATO in June. Both sides were conducting the exercises with the other side’s military capabilities and war plans in mind, according to the think tank.
However, spokesmen for Russia and NATO were dismissing any war plans during their military exercises, and claimed that the drills were designed to practice military actions against “hypothetical opponents.”
The analysts concluded that the “nature and scale” of the drills showed that “Russia is actively preparing for a conflict with NATO, and NATO is preparing for a possible confrontation with Russia.”
Travelling to meet the Ukrainian prime minister and defense minister in Kyiv, Fallon dismissed such a notion, telling journalists that “Russia is continuing to test NATO’s resolve, but we have shown we are standing firm.” Fallon added that the situation in Ukraine is currently “serious.”
Obama’s softness saved us from a global war?
The U.S. remains firm in its position to not supply lethal aid to Ukraine at this moment. As it was earlier reported by ValueWalk, a Russian Lt Gen expressed his opinion that U.S. President Barack Obama’s unwillingness to supply lethal weapons to Ukraine allowed to not unleash an all-out war against Russia.
“If you supply weapons, then you have to send instructors, and it is a fairy tale that they can be somewhere in western Ukraine training Ukrainians, who then take the weapons and go east,” Gen Buzhinsky told the BBC.
The General also warned that if the Ukrainian forces decide to get across the ceasefire line to try take back eastern Ukraine, it would unleash a war.
“If Kiev starts a major offensive on the pretext that they are being shelled… then Russia might interfere, and that of course will be war.”
On Tuesday, Britain announced its plans to expand a training program of the Ukrainian forces as a response to an increased threat from sophisticated explosive devices.
The British defense secretary also pointed out that he would consider a request that came from Ukraine to send additional military trainers to the Eastern European country torn apart by the one-and-a-half year conflict that has killed over 7,000 people.
Ukraine is still “red hot,” not frozen
However, Britain stopped short of planning to provide heavy equipment such as tanks and artillery even though Ukraine has been repeatedly saying that it needs them in order to compete with heavy weapons supplied to the rebels from Russia.
“Seven thousand people have already died in the Ukraine, right on the doorstep of Europe, as Ukraine fights for its freedom. This is not a frozen conflict, it’s still red hot,” Fallon said, adding that there is still a high possibility of Russian-backed rebels seizing the key city-port of Mariupol, which is in southeastern Ukraine.
“While they retain heavy weapons in the Donbass [the region of Donetsk and Luhansk – ValueWalk], and significant numbers of troops, you can’t rule out this continuing threat to Ukraine’s eastern border,” Fallon said.
As of today, five NATO nations, including the United States, are providing training to the Ukrainian forces, while the British defense secretary has repeatedly claimed that the assistance is ‘nonlethal’.
“We are going to be adding training in ground threat awareness, train them in how to recognize mines and IEDs,” Fallon said, adding that the goal is to train more than 2,000 military personnel by the end of the year.
U.S. and Russia prepare for a global war for natural resources
The Kremlin believes that the Ukrainian crisis was organized by Americans in order to prevent Russia from preparing for a global war for resources, according to Russia military analyst Pavel Felgenhauer.
Felgenhauer reminded that back in February 2013 the chief of the General Staff of Russia, Valeriy Gerasimov, said that a ‘great war’ was coming.
“The so-called resource war. Sometime between 2025 and 2030 the world will face a complete catastrophe with an extreme lack of natural resources such as crude oil, gas, water and everything,” Felgenhauer said during an interview with Apostrophe.
“In that regard, a world war or a series of regional wars would be unleased, in which countries and people would fight for resources. And Russia would be attacked from all sides, as we [Russians] have a vast territory and a large variety of resources,” the expert noted.
Due to this, Russia “adopted a program of rearmament to rearm and prepare for this war,” according to Felgenhauer.
But then the Ukrainian crises erupted, which, according to the Kremlin, was designed by the U.S. in order to “disrupt that plan,” the expert noted. At the same time, however, “there are no possibilities to reach a deal to at least freeze the conflict.”
“Because freezing the conflict means leaving Ukraine to the West. And that’s unacceptable,” Felgenhauer noted, adding that any disruption of the Kremlin’s plans infuriates the Russian leadership to a great extent.