Global Dividends Grew 9%, with U.S. Growth Leading the Way by Jeremy Schwartz, Director of Research, The WisdomTree Blog
In the current environment of low itnterest raes, dividends have been a key driver supporting the market in recent years. Tracking the growth of the global Dividend Stream®—the sum of dividends paid by companies in the WisdomTree Global Dividend Index—is an important element through which to judge the fundamentals of the global equity market.
Conducting our annual Index rebalance affords us the opportunity to keep our pulse on dividend trends around the world. Below are some of the highlights from this year, which had a screening date of September 30, 2014.1
• The Dividend Stream of the WisdomTree Global Dividend Index grew by approximately 9%. The aggregate global Dividend Stream approached $1.19 trillion, which is about 10% higher than the pre-crisis 2008 peak and approximately 50% higher than the global lows in 2009.
What can past market crashes teach us about the current one?
• The primary drivers of global dividend growth were U.S. constituents, which grew their dividends nearly 16% compared to the 2013 Index screening.
• Developed international markets also turned in Dividend Stream growth of approximately 7.5%. This occurred despite the euro falling from $1.30 to $1.27 and subtracting approximately 2.3 percentage points from the Dividend Stream of euro-traded stocks, which constitute approximately 28% of the developed international dividend payments.
• The Dividend Stream of the WisdomTree Emerging Markets Dividend Index measured in U.S. dollars was approximately $185.11 billion at the 2014 screening date—an increase of approximately 1% from 2013 levels.
• U.S. Share of the Stream: The U.S. has been on a strong upward trend since the 2011 Index screening when its constituents made up only about one quarter of the global Dividend Stream. As of this latest screening, U.S. constituents increased their share to about one-third, at the expense of both developed international and emerging market dividend payers. This percentage is still lower than the U.S. representation in traditional market capitalization-weighted indexes due to the lower dividend yields of U.S. companies.
The dividend weighted average dividend yield of various regional components dictates this under-weighted position for U.S. companies. The dividend-weighted average dividend yields of the three regions, as of the September 30, 2014, Index screening:
• United States: 2.8%
• Developed international: 4.2%
• Emerging markets: 4.4%
Bottom Line: The growth in dividends around the world has continued apace, increasing approximately 9%. The U.S. is shining on a relative basis in terms of growth here, although some of the weakness internationally is being caused by currency translation effects contrasting with the underlying dividends of the companies.
Dividend Stream Growth Occurred across All 3 Regions Shown, but U.S. Only Region to Increase Share
1Sources for all bullets: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, Standard & Poor’s. Data measured as of 9/30/14 Index screening.
Important Risks Related to this Article
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