The Problem with Bubbles by CSInvesting
Amid the turmoil in the public markets and the staggering macroeconomic environment, it should come as no surprise that the private markets are also struggling. In fact, there are some important links between private equity and the current economic environment. A closer look at PE reveals that the industry often serves as a leading indicator Read More
It’s the timing. Babson was two years early, so by the time the bubble peaked, no one cared. Sort of like today with six years of easy money/credit and rising prices in the US stock markets.
Note the housing bubble. Home prices were far above owner’s equivalent rent (the cash flow/income to support home prices) in 2002/2003 but then two to three years later the apex was reached. Soros in his theory of Reflexivity would propose to ride the bubble knowing you were in a bubble and then reversing course once it burst (the most marginal buyer has bought). Not easy in the hurly-burly world of investing.
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