The Problem with Bubbles by CSInvesting
Blue Eagle Capital Partners: Long Thesis For This Lending Stock
Blue Eagle Capital Partners was up 17.7% net for the third quarter of 2020, bringing its return to 49.1% for the first nine months of the year. During the third quarter, longs contributed 28.15% to the fund's performance, while shorts subtracted 7.36%. The S&P 500 was up 8.93% for the third quarter. Q4 2020 hedge Read More
It’s the timing. Babson was two years early, so by the time the bubble peaked, no one cared. Sort of like today with six years of easy money/credit and rising prices in the US stock markets.
Note the housing bubble. Home prices were far above owner’s equivalent rent (the cash flow/income to support home prices) in 2002/2003 but then two to three years later the apex was reached. Soros in his theory of Reflexivity would propose to ride the bubble knowing you were in a bubble and then reversing course once it burst (the most marginal buyer has bought). Not easy in the hurly-burly world of investing.
