GDP May Be Ready To Accelerate Economic Growth [CHART]


GDP May Be Ready to Accelerate Growth by Todd Sullivan, ValuePlays

“Davidson” submits:

Real GDP was better than expected. But, if one looks at the trends then one sees decent but less than historical RGDP.

Real GDP is composed of private and public spending. Private economy has been trending consistently at 3.33% as government shrunk at 2.13%. This leaves Total Real GDP at 2.29% Now that govt spending is rising, it makes total Real GDP look better.

NOTE: There has been no change in Real GDP trend since 2009. It is just now government is not subtracting from the total Real GDP. We are still missing Real GDP from housing, commercial construction and banking. I fully expect these important sectors to improve in the next several years and for Total Real GDP to return to or exceed 3%. If one looks at Real GDP trends, we may be on the verge of breaking to higher rate of growth.

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About the Author

Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.

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