Greenlight Cuts Long Exposure Amid Euphoria, Still Likes Yen Short

Greenlight Cuts Long Exposure Amid Euphoria, Still Likes Yen Short
David Einhorn InsiderMonkey (CC BY-ND 2.0)

We noted last evening, that David Einhorn was bearish on various currencies, including the Yen, Yuan, AUD. Today, on the conference call for Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. (NASDAQ:GLRE) Einhorn confirmed those views. He noted that he still had a big Yen short and was pulling back on long positions as the market continued climbing. Below is a transcript on Einhorn from the conference call.

See Greenlight Q3 letter to shareholders here.

David Einhorn On Greenlight Capital RE earnings. Thanks Bart and good morning and Happy Halloween everyone.

Greenlight Cuts Long Exposure Amid Euphoria, Still Likes Yen Short

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The Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. (NASDAQ:GLRE) investment portfolio returned 4% in the third quarter bringing the 2013 net return to 12.2%. In the third quarter, the Greenlight Re investment portfolio captured 77% of the markets gain with about 35% average net exposure.

As the markets continued its relentless climb, we became more conversely positioned and we ended the quarter 35% net long, down from 42% at the end of the second quarter. Our long portfolio more than doubled the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) written especially every long position was profitable in the quarter. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) was our biggest winner as its earnings guidance stabilized and the new iPhones released and had initial record sales.

We believe that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s brand product line, customer ecosystem, balance sheet strength and capital allocation strategy warrant a higher multiple than the current single-digit multiple net of the substantial cash on its balance sheet.

During the quarter Verizon agreed to acquire Vodafone Group Plc (ADR) (NASDAQ:VOD) (LON:VOD)’s 45% stake in Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) for $130 billion, a price that is a premium to the value we expected from a possible sale. We continued to have exposure to Vodafone’s core business which currently trades below its less exciting peers and it’s also an attractive acquisition target on its own.

We also had contributions from two new positions we accumulated during the quarter, one is the U.S. based technology company and the other is Osram Light, a lighting solutions company based in Germany that spun-off from Siemens during the quarter.

Our short portfolio detracted from performance in the third quarter, the losses in the short portfolio were broad based and we continued to be short most of the companies that contributed the loss. These include a variety of companies which tend to have conventional valuations rather than speculative story talks that have caused excessive pain for other short sellers.

We continued to be short Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (NASDAQ:GMCR) which trades at a premium to the market multiple on next year’s earnings estimates that we believe the company will not achieve. The company faces significant competitive challenges that we believe will impact its margins over the next 12 months.

Our macro positions were slightly negative in the third quarter and then became less volatile which caused losses on our puts. The weakened yen remains one of our most profitable positions so far this year. We continued to have substantial exposure to further weakening, our macro positions are slightly positive for this year so far.

We are pleased with the results of our underwriting operations so far this year as well. We continued to service our existing relationships while we look for other areas for our client-centric approach might yield future business opportunities. The team is working well together and has found a few new relationships despite a soft market.

Via SeekingAlpha

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