Durable Goods Back Above Pre Precession Level


Mark Perry’s comments at 5:31PM reflect the strong economic fundamentals we are seeing. Use this link to read his full commentary: Mark Perry-Durable Outout above Pre-Recession Levels “Recession! Recession!” and “Market Top!”, there are a number of known market experts issuing these pronouncements in recent days on CNBC. One wonders just what information they are looking at because the evidence is so obvious that we are in an expanding economy and that we have been in an expanding economy since March 2009. While one may permit some leeway in the ways each may look at the data, after a while it become very obvious that things have been getting better for a while. At this point in the cycle, it is highly unusual for so many to still be bearish. One wonders if they themselves have actually looked at the data or are they just playing follow the leader.

The economy is in good shape and accelerating. Perry’s chart below is just one of 2 doz. I monitor. The market has a good reason to be up and to go higher ($SPY).*

Excerpts are below:
“Durable manufacturing output is now above pre-recession levels for the first time”
Mark J. Perry | March 15, 2013, 5:31 pm

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Capture717 Durable Good Above Pre Recession Levels

“Boosted by record motor vehicle production, the index for Durable Manufacturing reached an all-time high in February of 103, which was an increase of 3.8% above a year ago, and an increase of 7.6% on an annual basis over the last three months. And in another important milestone for the economic recovery, February’s durable manufacturing output was the first month that production was above the pre-recession peak when the index for durable manufacturing was at 102.25 in December 2007 (see red line in chart).”

MP: See more detailed commentary here from First Trust Portfolios on today’s industrial production report, with their conclusion that “Once again, more evidence the plow horse economy is starting to trot.”

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.
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