Auto Sales Accelerate….Will Employment Follow?

Below is the correlation between auto sales and employment. Note auto sales lead employment by roughly 2-3 months. Now, when we add this data point to what we have seen in temp employment (it has a 3-4 month lead time on NFP’s) and the strength there, we have a couple indicators that tell us we should be accelerating employment numbers in early spring.

Auto Sales Accelerate….Will Employment Follow?




About the Author

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.