Tag: recession

Image source: YouTube Screenshot

Scott Minerd – Recession Defense

Is the great expansion soon to become the great unwinding? The recent unanimous decision by Federal Reserve officials to start reducing the size of its bond holdings would indicate it. The Fed’s balance sheet is up an estimated 500% to […]

Corporate Beige Book: Upbeat As Expected

Corporate Beige Book: Upbeat As Expected

Key Takeaways Based on the Corporate Beige Book Barometer, companies remained generally upbeat during the second quarter earnings season. The number of mentions of the Trump administration in earnings conference calls has dropped substantially over the past two quarters. The […]

These 2 Charts Reinforce Worry Me

These 2 Charts Reinforce Worry Me

Stock valuations are the discounted values of future earnings. Future earnings depend on future revenue, which may diminish whenever the future includes a recession. So, broad economic conditions are a big factor to watch in stock valuation. Also read: Q2/H1 […]

geralt / Pixabay

About one in 10 Americans works in retail

In 1886 there were only 38 states in the United States. Electric power was still cutting edge technology that few people had ever seen. Retail apocalypse has Macys in its sights as more than . What’s Going on with Retail […]

Real Added Value – An Indicator Of Peril

Real Added Value – An Indicator Of Peril

Thanks to Jesse Felder, we recently stumbled upon a measure of economic conditions that has reliably signaled every recession since 1948. The data point, Real Value Added, is currently in negative territory and may, therefore, be a harbinger of an […]

How US PE Firms Can Keep Investing In The Next Recession

How US PE Firms Can Keep Investing In The Next Recession

Data & analysis of historical PE trends during a downturn PitchBook is now a Morningstar company. Comprehensive, accurate and hard-to-find data for professionals doing business in the private markets. Private Equity Heavyweights Turn Attentions Down Under Investor Confidence Runs High: […]