BlackRock’s iShares Core suite won the battle for inflows in July. It’s not even close. Seven out of the top 10 July inflows went to iShares funds—five in the Core suite. iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV-US) took in $4.10 billion vs. $1.06 billion for its direct competitor, AUM giant SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY-US). Never mind that SPY-US ended June with twice the assets of IVV-US.
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Here are the top 10 asset gatherers by dollar amount among U.S.-domiciled ETFs for July 2017:
|Ticker||Name||July 2017 Net Flows ($,M)||% AUM CHANGE From JUNE 30, 2017|
|IEFA||iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF||4,247.96||14.92%|
|IVV||iShares Core S&P 500 ETF||4,104.94||3.56%|
|LQD||iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF||1,758.91||4.88%|
|AGG||iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF||1,672.35||3.52%|
|VEA||Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF||1,366.63||2.46%|
|XLF||Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund||1,360.41||5.60%|
|SPY||SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust||1,064.78||0.45%|
|HYG||iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF||939.34||5.35%|
|ITOT||iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF||872.85||9.07%|
|IEMG||iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF||839.91||2.58%|
The 25-fund iShares core suite captured $12.6 billion, or 51.4% of the net inflows for all 2060 ETFs that traded in the U.S. during July. Not too shabby for a fund set that comprised only 11.2% of the ETF landscape by AUM at the start of the month. The suite gained $2.57 billion of market share over competing funds.
What is iShares Doing Right?
BlackRock’s core suite is hitting the sweet spot of client demand. The thirst for cheap, broad-based, cap-weighted, dirt-simple ETFs is the major theme of 2017. That’s exactly what iShares core offers, with the addition of two value/growth funds, and four target risk funds that offer a one-fund complete stock and bond portfolio.
In some cases, iShares Core funds won the battle for flows because they have no competition. But in the majority of the 15 hotly contested segments where iShares Core battles Vanguard, Charles Schwab, and State Street Global Advisors for every dollar, the Core suite simply offered the best combination of exposure and cost. In fact, in five market segments, iShares Core edged out Schwab despite a .01% or .02% higher expense ratio.
The table below highlights a subset of funds from each of the segments: those cheap vanilla funds that are direct competitors to the iShares Core suite, plus iShares’ legacy funds, which are vanilla, but not cheap.
The extent of iShares’ core suite’s rout within the cheap vanilla space becomes clear when we look at flows vs. AUM-based flows expectations. The flows gap—the difference, in millions of dollars, between July’s actual inflows, and the fund’s pro-rata share of the net segment flows—tilts in iShares Core’s favor in 11 out of the 15 segments.
Flows Gap by Segment and Issuer/Suite, July 2017, in $ Millions
|INDEX UNIVERSE'S REPORT TITLE||JULY WINNER||ISHARES CORE||ISHARES LEGACY||VANGUARD||SSGA||SCHWAB|
|Equity: Developed Asia Pacific -Total Market||iShares Core||10||-10|
|Equity: Developed Europe - Total Market||iShares Core||116||-116|
|Equity: Developed Markets Ex-U.S. - Total Market||iShares Core||3,236||-2,738||-612||-34||116|
|Equity: Emerging Markets - Total Market||iShares Core||161||60||-454||73||159|
|Equity: Global Ex-U.S.- Total Market*||iShares Core||247||240||-136||-23|
|Equity U.S. - High Dividend Yield||Vanguard||-6||-188||157||37|
|Equity U.S. - Large Cap||iShares Core||2,612||-759||-1,996||109|
|Equity U.S. - Mid Cap **||Schwab||-261||16||232||80|
|Equity U.S. - Small Cap||iShares Core||1,361||15||23||185|
|Equity U.S. - Total Market (Dividend Growth)||iShares Core||98||-121|
|Equity U.S. - Total Market Value (Vanilla Funds)||iShares Core||756||-592||-43|
|Equity U.S. - Total Market Value||iShares Core||91|
|Equity U.S. Real Estate||Vanguard||11||-534||233||164||100|
|Fixed Income: Global Ex-U.S. - Broad Market Investment Grade||Vanguard||-5||5|
|Fixed Income: U.S. - Broad Market Investment Grade||iShares Core||599||-627||-30||59|
*Vanguard fund is VXUS, not VEU
** US Mid Caps experienced net outflows in July. Although SSgA's MDY's outflows were lower than its pro-rate share, leading to the $232 million positive flows gap.
Schwab's SCHM-US saw atual net inflows of $19.1 million
The July flows data presents a puzzle: iShares’ Core suite pretty much ran the tables in July, even though Vanguard and Schwab funds are often just as cheap —sometimes cheaper—and mostly offer excellent liquidity. Clearly, investors were looking at something beyond costs. The key to the puzzle may be this: in 12 of the 15 segments where iShares Core ETFs compete, the competitors’ cheap vanilla funds don’t have the same portfolios. They track different indices. And that matters more often than we might think, because index composition drives returns.
Know Your Index
Take the example of two well-known U.S. large cap indexes. The Russell 1000 has twice the constituent count of the S&P 500. The additional 500 constituents matter. Over the 12 months through July 31, iShares Russell 1000 ETF (IWB-US) returned 15.79%, while iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV-US) returned 15.99%. Returns are based on NAVs and include re-invested dividends.
The 0.20% returns difference is nearly twice the 0.11% difference in expense ratios.
Sometimes, differences in index methodology can really smack an investor’s bottom line. Take a look at the one-year market total returns (to July 31, 2017) for the five emerging market equity funds compared below. You’ll find a 3.87% difference between MSCI and FTSE’s offerings.
MSCI classifies South Korea as emerging, but FTSE (tracked by Vanguard and Schwab ETFs) and S&P consider it to be developed. S&P and FTSE also differ on which Chinese securities to include. The takeaway: indexes with similar names can have quite divergent portfolios, so it pays to look under the hood.
And that’s just what July’s investors did.
Suddenly, Investors are Index Nerds
It’s not that investors disregarded costs. Expense ratios and spreads still mattered. But, where cost differences were slight—one basis point, maybe two—it seems that investors chose funds based on the index they track. Investors sought full market cap coverage, and well-researched groupings (such as large/mid/small)—the same aspects that are emphasized in the segment benchmarks behind FactSet’s ETF Fit score.
Here’s a table showing several common ETF selection criteria, with indications of which ETF issuer’s fund has the advantage in each segment. Green highlights indicate that the advantage fell to the winning fund in July.
|INDEX UNIVERSE'S REPORT TITLE||JULY WINNER||Lowest Expenses||Lowest Trading Cost||Biggest||Best Fit|
|Equity: Developed Asia Pacific -Total Market||iShares Core||Core/Vanguard||Vanguard||Vanguard||Core|
|Equity: Developed Europe - Total Market||iShares Core||Core/Vanguard||Vanguard||Vanguard||Core|
|Equity: Developed Markets Ex-U.S. - Total Market||iShares Core||Schwab||Legacy||Legacy||Core/Vanguard|
|Equity: Emerging Markets - Total Market||iShares Core||Schwab||Core||Vanguard||Core|
|Equity: Global Ex-U.S.- Total Market*||iShares Core||Core/Vanguard||SSgA||Vanguard||Core|
Tags: iShares Core suite