Politics

Here’s The Hidden Angle On This Strange China Energy Takeover

Big surge in oil and gas M&A the last few months. With watchdogs Evaluate Energy reporting that Canadian energy deals have already totalled $32.8 billion in 2017 — nearly as much as full-year 2015 and 2016 combined.

China
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China

That uptick has been driven by global majors selling oil sands assets. And elsewhere in the world, another big firm shed unloved fields this week — to a surprising buyer, which may show an important geopolitical shift underway.

In Southeast Asia.

The place is Bangladesh. And the seller is Chevron — which announced Monday it is divesting its portfolio of natural gas production in the country.

It’s been widely known that Chevron’s Bangladesh assets were on the block. With the company announcing its intent to pull out of the country after the government denied a request for a hike in natgas prices, in 2015.

Chevron subsequently said that the current $2.76/Mcf rate it receives at its fields here is too low to make money. Causing the company to scrap plans for $650 million of new investment in the Bangladesh portfolio — which produces a significant 1.55 billion cubic feet per day.

The question then became: who would buy these apparently unprofitable fields?

And this week the answer emerged.

China.

Chevron said it is selling its Bangladesh portfolio to Himalaya Energy — a joint venture between state-owned China ZhenHua Oil and Hong Kong investment firm CNIC Corporation.

The pricetag for the deal wasn’t disclosed — but given the production levels here, it’s likely sizeable. Raising the question, why would the Chinese firms pay up for fields that are close to losing money?

The answer may be, influence.

The Southeast Asian sphere has recently become an energy focus for China — evidenced by the launch of mega-projects like a 770-km oil pipeline across Myanmar to Kunming.

Chevron’s offshore Bangladesh fields lie just a few hundred kilometers from that pipeline’s docking point in Myanmar. Suggesting this week’s deal could be a move to further increase power in this critical supply region — especially given that Chevron’s production makes up 58% of national Bangladesh supply.

That gives China a stranglehold on energy flows here. Watch to see if that influence might in fact kill the deal — with Bangladesh state oil firm Petrobangla saying it is looking at exercising a right of first refusal on the Chevron assets. The outcome here could quietly reshape the energy picture in this part of the world.

Here’s to the hidden value,

Dave Forest

Article by Pierce Points