Elm Ridge Capital Management presentation on energy investments, hit hard by oil prices but they think the opportunity is compelling.

H/T a reader

What We Think

  • Oil is unlike other commodities because it depletes and requires constant reinvestment
  • Depressed prices will hit future supply. US production has begun to fall and will leave the world undersupplied by mid-2016
  • Higher oil prices are needed to incentivize enough new production to meet demand
  • Price, not economic growth, has a greater impact on trend demand
  • Our holdings have enormous upside

How Did We Get Here?

Elm Ridge Capital Management: Oil Prices – Lower For Longer?

U.S. Shale – Quicker Payback, Faster Declines

Elm Ridge Capital Management Oil Prices

Quicker payback periods and easy credit drove the shale boom

The U.S. Would Have Eclipsed Saudi Arabia By 2016

Elm Ridge Capital Management Oil Prices

That Did Not Sit Well With The Saudis

Please login to view the rest of this article - Not subscribed? Get our adfree exclusive content for only a few dollars a month.

It also helps us fund our operations so think of it as supporting quality journalism.