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Gold Miners: Value Trap, Generational Buying Opportunity, or Neither?

January 29, 2013
By
TEST3

gold

LST is currently in the mood to play some late night macro jazz, so will jot down below a few (incoherent) thoughts regarding none other than… zee barbaric relic, and those who mine for them:

  • A few of LST’s indicators are signaling accumulate/buy (now, if not within the next few trading days), if not monitor VERY CLOSELY on the long side (especially for medium/long duration holding purposes);
  • A certain @Paul3222 says gold miners will be “stupid cheap” : “…when management stops destroying shareholder value. Or, when recoverable reserves are worth more than the company.”
  • @freegold , Hugh Hendry, and others of the uber-risk conscious mold (rightfully?) believe that one cannot hedge/price in the risk of nationalisation … whether that’s true, or whether the mere headline risk can drive miners to absurdly low prices, it’s something to bear in mind.
  • LST wondered whether Paulson’s 2012 trades gone wrong would be 2013 trades gone right (at some point in 2013)…such as gold/miners …
  • Impact of gold, gold-related ETFs on gold mining stocks (i.e. “market structure” issues of the secular variety)
  • “Gold fundamentals remain strong”
  • Eventual reversal of the short miners, long gld/physical trade?
  • and some food for thought, per @tejus_sawjiani

What Do Investors Want From a Gold Mining Stock? by ValueWalk.com

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