Egypt has just announced the results of the Presidential elections. The announcement of the results were delayed in order to allow allegations of fraud to be settled. We reported two weeks ago, that the Army was in talks with the Muslim Brotherhood to strike a deal.
#MB and#SCAF are in process of striking deal for #Shafik to be PM, #Mursi to be president, elections will go on #Egypt
— ValueWalk.com (@valuewalk) June 15, 2012
Our sources could not confirm if a deal was struck, but we suspect the delay over the results involved the talks.
The stakes could not be higher. In the eyes of the Egyptians, this is a race between two men representing polar opposities. Ahmad (or Ahmed) Shafik is widely seen as too close to Mubarak, while Mursi (or Mursy) represents of the Wahabi Islamic group, the Muslim Brotherhood. Shafik appeals to those who are tired of the chaos in Egypt, and to many Christians and women who fear an Islamic dictatorship under Mursi. Shafik, a former senior commander in the air force, was prime minister under Hosni Mubarak for a brief period. Mursi has the support of the islamists, and those who seem him as the lesser of the two evils. Mursi was put up for candidate by the Muslim Brotherhood, after Khairat El-Shater was disqualified from running.
Both Shafik and Mursi have claimed victory over the past week. A Shafik victory would immediately trigger accusations of vote fixing, since Shafik is favored by the rulers of Egypt, the Supreme Council of Armed Forces (Scaf). It could even lead to a possible civil war. Since 1928, the Muslim Brotherhood has been waiting to take over Egypt. Many angry ‘liberals’ would also join in, as they view Shafik as a continuation of ex-President, Hosni Mubarak.
The Muslim Brotherhood is threatening to conduct an extended sit-in in Cairo’s Tahir square if Shafik wins.
If Mursi wins, the army/ SCAF will likely give the President few powers. Additionally, after the dissolution of Parliament, there is a lot of friction between the two groups. The Islamists had won over 75% of seats in Parliament, until the vote was declared invalid, and the chamber dissolved. The Muslim Brotherhood, which won close to 50% of the seats was angry at the decision.
We predicted this could happen, and compared the situation in Egypt to Algeria in the early 1990s. At that time, islamists groups won elections the Military took over, and a civil war ensued.
Scaf warned the Muslim Brotherhood by stating “We will face anyone who will pose a challenge to the public and private sectors with an iron fist.”
Interior ministry spokesman General Marwan Mustapha said, “Minister Mohamed Ibrahim has given police forces orders to shoot to kill against anyone attempting to attack police stations after the results.”
No matter who is declared the winner, a civil war is a possibility. However, a Shafik victory is likely to lead to more tension, because the Muslim Brotherhood will have no official political power.
Adding to the uncertainty over the election, is last week’s announcement that ex-president Hosni Mubarak had died. The news was quickly denied by the SCAF and Mubarak’s lawyer. However, no one has been able to clarify the status of Mubarak.
According to Almasryalyoum, over 150,000 policemen and army troops armed with tanks are on alert to deal with any unrest. The country has put close to 2,000 ambulances on standby.
Supporters of both candidates are camped out waiting for the official announcement.
Earlier today, Ahmed Shafik declared himself the winner on his Facebook page.
There have been so many rumors flying around about who won; however, we wait for the official announcement. Many are now claiming that regardless of who wins, the results have been fixed by SCAF. If Shafik wins, it is because he is the army favorite, if Mursi wins, it is because he struck a deal with SCAF.
Mohammad Mursi again announced he won, declaring it on his official twitter account (Ikhwanweb is the only official Muslim Brotherhood’s English website. Our Tweets represent the official opinions of the Muslim Brotherhood. RTs = endorsements).
— Ikhwanweb (@Ikhwanweb) June 24, 2012
Faruk Sultan, the head of the presidential election commission, announced the results of the presidential election run-off on Sunday at 4250pm (10:25am EST). The results have been delayed by half an hour. The time to actually announce the results took another hour.
State TV: 30 more minutes until #Egypt election results
— Bikya Masr (@bikyamasr) June 24, 2012
The Egyptian national anthem is played before the results.
The results have just been announced, and the winner is Mohammed Mursi.
The next president of Egypt is going to be Mohammed Mursi, assuming the results are accepted by the people.